What you need to know

Franchise dealers, which include over 25 certified pre-owned programs, are estimated to sell 2.2 million certified pre-owned (CPO) vehicles by the end of 2014. CPO vehicles make up about 5% of all used car sales, and about 14% of used car sales at franchised dealers. Most mainstream, mass-marketbrands now have healthy CPO programs, with fast growing brands at Kia, Subaru, Mazda, Ford, Chevrolet and GMC, helping to buoy sales. This will mark the fifth consecutive year of growth in CPO sales and marks the longest such run since the CPO market declined sharply during the recession.

Over the five year forecast, CPO sales are expected to peak in 2016, at 2.5 million units, an all-time high. The CPO market is primarily driven by the supply of late-model used vehicles, particularly off-leased vehicles, and by consumer awareness of CPO vehicles.

This report will highlight who is buying certified pre-owned vehicles and why. In addition, this report will help the reader discover which are the most sought after brands in regards to CPO, as well as the most important features, and what consumers are willing to pay for these vehicles. Additional information covered includes consumer awareness of specifics behind CPO programs, and whether or not there is a high level of consumer awareness when it comes to the differences between factory-certified pre-owned programs, which are mainly emphasized throughout this report, and dealer-run certified pre-owned programs.

This report builds on the analysis presented in Mintel’s Used Cars and Light Trucks – US, July 2011.

Definition

The purpose of this report is to identify the purchase behavior of people buying certified pre-owned cars. What types of vehicles they plan to purchase, which brands, and how much they expect to pay (monthly and in total), among other attributes. A certified pre-owned car is defined as any well-maintained, late-model, used vehicle which has been inspected and refurbished by its original manufacturer or dealer. Certified pre-owned vehicles typically include warranties, and other additional benefits typically available only on new cars, but this isn’t necessarily required. While this report covers some elements of dealer-certified programs, such as those offered by CarMax, the majority of the report focuses on factory-certified pre-owned programs offered by major auto manufacturers.

Data sources

Sales data

  • Market Size and Forecast: Based on data from CNW Research

  • Leading Manufacturers: Based on data from Automotive News Data Center, Autodata Corporation

Consumer survey data

For the purposes of this report, Mintel commissioned exclusive consumer research through GMI to explore consumer purchase of, and attitudes and behaviors toward certified pre-owned cars. Mintel was responsible for the survey design, data analysis, and reporting. Fieldwork was conducted in May 2014 among a sample of 2,000 adults aged 18+ with access to the internet. For the purposes of this report, Mintel oversampled certified pre-owned vehicle purchase intenders by an additional 360 respondents.

Mintel selects survey respondents so that they are proportionally balanced to the entire US adult population based on the key demographics of gender, age, household income, and region. Mintel also slightly oversamples, relative to the population, respondents that are Hispanic or Black to ensure an adequate representation of these groups in the survey results. Please note that Mintel surveys are conducted online and in English only. Hispanics who are not online and/or do not speak English are not included in the survey results.

While race and Hispanic origin are separate demographic characteristics, Mintel often compares them to each other. Please note that the responses for race (White, Black, Asian, Native American, or other race) will overlap those that also are Hispanic, because Hispanics can be of any race.

Abbreviations and terms

The following is a list of abbreviations used in this report:

AAA American Automobile Association
APR Annual percentage rate
CAF CarMax Auto Finance
CPO Certified pre-owned
FY Financial year
GAP Guaranteed Auto Protection
GM General Motors
JDM Japanese domestic market
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Terms

Generations, if discussed within this report, are defined as:

World War II/Swing Generations Members of the WWII generation were born in 1932 or before and are aged 82 or older in 2014. Members of the Swing Generation were born from 1933-45 and are aged 68-81 in 2014.
Baby Boomers The generation born between 1946 and 1964. In 2014, Baby Boomers are between the ages of 50 and 68.
Generation X The generation born between 1965 and 1976. In 2014, Gen Xers are between the ages of 38 and 49
Millennials The generation born between 1977 and 1994. In 2014, Millennials are between the ages of 20 and 37. Note: the National Household Travel Survey defines Millennials as 16-34 as referenced and highlighted in this report.
iGeneration Born between 1995 and 2007, members of iGen are aged 7 to 19 in 2014.
Emerging Generation The newest generation began in 2008 as the annual number of births declined sharply with the recession. In 2014 members of this as-yet unnamed generation are under age 7.
Small/Compact car Small or compact cars tend to be hatchbacks that have 109 cu ft or less of passenger and cargo volume. For example: Smart Fortwo, Mini Cooper, VW Beetle, Kia Forte, Honda Civic, Ford Focus, Scion tC, Chevy Cruze, Toyota Corolla, Toyota Matrix, etc.
Full-sized car Full-sized cars have more than 120 cu ft of passenger and cargo volume. For example: Chevy Impala, Ford Taurus, Nissan Maxima, Dodge Charger, etc.
Midsized car Midsized vehicles have 110 to 119 cu ft of passenger and cargo volume. For example: Chevy Malibu, Chrysler 200, Honda Accord, Nissan Altima, Hyundai Sonata, etc.
Pickup truck This refers to pickup trucks that have a front cab that can feature up to two rows of seating, and a rear cargo area, or bed. Pickup trucks are defined as either compact, having a GVWR of less than 6,000 lbs, or full-sized (GVWR of 6,000 to 8,500 lbs). For example: Ford F-Series, Chevrolet Silverado, Dodge Ram, etc.
Van This category refers to vehicles that are either used commercially, such as panel vans, or are used to accommodate large families, such as conversion vans. For example: Ford E-Series, Ford Transit Connect, Dodge Sprinter, etc.
Minivan These are considered “people movers,” with side sliding doors, and room for up to eight people. For example: Chrysler Town and Country, Honda Odyssey, etc.
Crossovers Crossovers are built upon a unibody chassis, which allows for more efficient fuel consumption and also provides an opportunity for hybrid powertrain use since fitting a battery module into a truck/SUV frame is considered more cumbersome. These vehicles have the style and comfort of an SUV, but are considered more fuel efficient, a factor that became increasingly important in the recession and continues today. For example: Honda CR-V, Chevrolet Traverse or Ford Escape, etc.
SUVs SUVs are defined as vehicles built on a light-truck platform with an interior similar to a large sedan. SUVs have the ability to carry passengers comfortably in addition to providing utility such as towing capacity or four-wheel drive. For example: Jeep Wrangler, Dodge Nitro, Chevrolet Trailblazer, etc.
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