Table of Contents
Introduction and Abbreviations
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- Definitions
- Consumer research
- ACORN
- Abbreviations
Summary of Key Report Findings
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- Pub numbers stable as turnover grows
- Economic and demographic factors positive
- Jubilee and World Cup provide timely boost
- Food and machines provide strongest growth
- Leased/tenanted operators fill top four slots
- Price and value is main focus of promotions
- Evenings and weekend most popular times to visit
- Consumers are creatures of habit
- Licensing chaos looms as cost pressures build
- Economic, demographic conditions positive for future
Market Factors
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- Regulatory factors
- Increased regulatory costs
- Deregulation of opening hours
- Overhauling of the licensing system
- Lifestyle factors
- Alcohol consumption trends
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- Figure 1: Expenditure on alcoholic drinks in and out of the home, 1996-2001
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- Figure 2: Trends in alcoholic drink consumption at constant 1996 prices, 1996-2001
- Demographic factors
- Trends in the UK population
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- Figure 3: Trends in the UK population aged 18+, 2002 and 2006
- Trends in the lifestage structure of the population
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- Figure 4: Structure of the UK adult population, by socio-economic group and lifestage, 2002 and 2006
- Economic factors
- Trends in personal disposable income
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- Figure 5: Trends in real personal disposable income, 1997-2002
- Figure 6: Forecast trends in real personal disposable income, 2002-06
- Other factors
- Seasonality and the weather
- Foot-and-mouth disease
- Unforeseen events
Market Size and Trends
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- Figure 7: UK pub market key statistics, 1997-2002
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- Figure 8: UK pub market size trends, 1997-2001
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Market Segmentation
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- Figure 9: UK pubs market size, by sector, 1997-2001
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- Figure 10: Segmentation of UK pub sales, 1997 and 2001
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- Figure 11: Pub outlet numbers, by type, 1997-2001
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- Figure 12: Pub outlet numbers, by TV region, 1997-2001
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- Figure 13: Multiple group/tied pub outlet numbers, 1997-2001
- Figure 14: Independent pub outlet numbers, 1997-2001
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The Supply Structure
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- Figure 15: Leading ten pub operators, by outlet numbers, June 2002
- Enterprise Inns plc
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- Figure 16: Financial performance of Enterprise Inns plc, 1998-2002
- Figure 17: Analysis of Enterprise Inns plc turnover, by source, 2000 and 2001
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- Figure 18: Geographical distribution of Enterprise Inns plc pub outlets in the UK, April 2002
- Punch Taverns plc
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- Figure 19: Financial performance of Punch Taverns’ leased/tenanted pubs, 1999-2002
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- Figure 20: Punch Taverns turnover, by source, 1999-2002
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- Figure 21: Punch Taverns estate, by classification, March 2002
- Newco (Coinmajor Ltd)
- Pubmistress Ltd
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- Figure 22: Financial performance of Pubmaster Ltd, 2000 and 2001
- Scottish & Newcastle plc
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- Figure 23: Financial performance of S&N Retail division, 2000 and 2001
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- Figure 24: S&N Retail managed estate, by type of outlet, 2002
- Figure 25: Leading branded pub outlets operated by S&N Retail, June 2002
- Six Continents plc
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- Figure 26: Six Continents Retail financial performance, by segment, 2000 and 2001
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- Figure 27: Six Continents Retail outlet sales, by segment, by sector, 2001/02*
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- Figure 28: Key pub brands of Six Continents Retail, June 2002
- Greene King plc
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- Figure 29: Financial performance of pub operations of Greene King plc, 2000 and 2001
- The Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries plc
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- Figure 30: Financial performance of pub operations of the Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries plc, 2000-02*
- Spirit Group Ltd
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- Figure 31: Financial performance of The Spirit Group (formerly Punch Retail) Ltd, 2000-02
- Figure 32: Spirit Group Ltd pub outlet profile, June 2002
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- Figure 33: Spirit Group Ltd estate, by region, June 2002
- InnSpired Pubs plc
- Other players
- Laurel Pub Holdings Ltd
- Whitbread Group plc
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- Figure 34: Recent financial performance of Whitbread Group plc’s pub restaurants operations, 2001 and 2002
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- Figure 35: Key pub brands of Whitbread Group plc, June 2002
- JD Wetherspoon plc
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- Figure 36: Recent financial performance of JD Wetherspoon plc, 1997-2002
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- Figure 37: JD Wetherspoon plc pub outlets, by brand, June 2002
- Yates Group plc
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- Figure 38: Recent financial performance of Yates Group plc, 1998-2002
- Figure 39: Yates Group plc key brands, June 2002
- SFI Group plc
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- Figure 40: Recent financial performance of SFI Group plc, 1997-2002
- Figure 41: Key pub and bar brands of SFI Group plc, June 2002
- Regent Inns plc
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- Figure 42: Recent financial performance of Regent Inns plc, 1997-2002
- Figure 43: Key brands of Regent Inns plc, June 2002
- Wizard Inns Ltd
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Advertising and Promotion
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- The Internet
The Consumer
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- Time of the day visited
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- Figure 44: Daytime and evening pub visiting, April 2000 and April 2002
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- Figure 45: Daytime and evening pub visiting, by demographic sub-group, April 2002
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- Figure 46: Pub visiting, by age, April 2002
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- Figure 47: Daytime and evening pub visiting, by lifestage, Mintel’s Special Groups, the media and ACORN categories, April 2002
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- Figure 48: Daytime pub visiting, by demographic sub-group, April 2002
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- Figure 49: Daytime pub visiting, by lifestage, Mintel Special Groups, the media and ACORN categories, April 2002
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- Figure 50: Evening pub visiting, by demographic sub-group, April 2002
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- Figure 51: Evening pub visiting, by lifestage, Mintel’s Special Groups, the media and ACORN categories, April 2002
- Reasons for visiting
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- Figure 52: Reasons for visiting a pub for a drink, April 2002
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- Figure 53: Reasons for visiting a pub, all adults vs pub visitors, April 2002
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- Figure 54: Most popular reasons for visiting a pub, by demographic sub-group, April 2002
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- Figure 55: Most popular reasons for visiting a pub, by lifestage, Mintel’s Special Groups, the media and ACORN categories, April 2002
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- Figure 56: Popular reasons for visiting a pub, by demographic sub-group, April 2002
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- Figure 57: Popular reasons for visiting a pub, by lifestage, Mintel’s Special Groups, the media and ACORN categories, April 2002
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- Figure 58: Reasons for visiting a pub, by demographic sub-group, April 2002
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- Figure 59: Reasons for visiting a pub, by lifestage, Mintel’s Special Groups, the media and ACORN categories, April 2002
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- Figure 60: Least popular reasons for visiting a pub, by demographic sub-group, April 2002
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- Figure 61: Least popular reasons for visiting a pub, by lifestage, Mintel’s Special Groups, the media and ACORN categories, April 2002
The Future
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- Positive demographic outlook
- The continuing erosion of margins through higher costs…
- …and competition
- Possible difficulty with future licences
- The key to growth is food…
- …and accommodation
Forecast
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- Steady, rather than spectacular expansion
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- Figure 62: Forecast of the pub market, 2002-06
- The right growth environment
- Dynamic catering growth will boost revenue
- More branding, more promotions
- Possible growth obstacles
- Factors incorporated
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