Table of Contents
Executive Summary
-
- Market size
-
- Figure 1: UK market for children’s social care, 2012/13-2016/17, (£ million)
- Figure 2: Segmentation of UK market for children’s social care, by country, 2012/13-2016/17, (£ million)
-
- Figure 3: Number of children looked after, by country, 2016, (% of UK total)
- Figure 4: Segmentation of the UK market for children’s social care, by type of care, 2012/13 and 2016/17, (% of total market)
- Market trends
-
- Figure 5: UK children’s home placements and average annual cost, at 31 March of each year (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) and 31 July of each year (Scotland), 2012/13-2016/17, (number of children and £000)
- Figure 6: Children’s homes in England, at 31 March 2016, by region and type of provision, (% of homes)
-
- Figure 7: UK foster care placements and average annual cost, at 31 March of each year (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) and 31 July of each year (Scotland), 2012/13-2016/17, (number of Children and £000)
- Figure 8: Segmentation of the UK market for children’s social care, by type of provider, 2012/13-2016/17, (% of total provision)
- Government leading drive to install new delivery model
- Referrals to children’s social care fell for the second consecutive year in 2015/16, while completed initial assessments rose for a second time
-
- Figure 9: Number of referrals and initial assessments from referrals to children’s social care, England, 2011/12-2015/16, (number)
- London is home to the most social workers but also has the highest staff turnover
- Market factors
- Funding pressures are influencing the provision of services
- Government begins market reform that aims to rejuvenate performance and outcomes
- Companies
- Forecast
- Diminishing rate of growth expected to 2021 due to external economic factors
-
- Figure 10: UK market forecast for children’s social care, 2017/18-2021/22, (£ million)
- Special education spend expected to slow but still account for largest proportion of total market expenditure
-
- Figure 11: UK market segmentation forecast for children’s social care, by type of care, 2017/18-2021/22, (£ million)
- What we think
Key Insights
-
- How are financial pressures affecting the market?
- Are fostering services managing to deal with demand for placements?
- What is likely to drive future growth?
Introduction
-
- Definitions
- Methodology
- Abbreviations
- Market positioning
UK Economy
-
- Key points
- Overview
-
- Figure 12: UK GDP, 2006-16, (% quarterly growth and GDP in £ billion)
- Figure 13: UK output, by industry, 2008-16, (Index 2013 = 100)
-
- Figure 14: Quarters after GDP peak, 1979, 1990 and 2008, (number of quarters and GDP as % of pre-downturn peak)
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- House prices
-
- Figure 15: UK house price changes, 2006-16, (12-month % change)
- Consumer spending
- Manufacturing
-
- Figure 16: UK manufacturing, 2014-16, (Index, 2013 = 100)
- Business investment
-
- Figure 17: UK GFCF 2005-16, (£ million)
- Imports
- Exports
Market Factors
-
- Key points
- Funding pressures are influencing the provision of services
- Push and pull factors leading to a rise in the number of care proceedings initiated in court
- Government begins market reform to rejuvenate performance and outcomes
- Industry’s existing barriers to market entry still restricting development
- Legislation
Market Size and Trends
-
- Key points
-
- Figure 18: UK market for children’s social care, 2012/13-2016/17, (£ million)
-
- Figure 19: UK market for children’s social care, 2012/13-2016/17, (£ million)
- Regional analysis
-
- Figure 20: Segmentation of UK market for children’s social care, by country, 2012/13-2016/17, (£ million)
-
- Figure 21: Segmentation of UK market for children’s social care, by country, 2012/13-2016/17, (£ million)
- Figure 22: Number of children looked after, by country, 2012-16, (number of children)
-
- Figure 23: number of children looked after, by country, 2016, (% of UK total)
- Figure 24: Number of children looked after in England, by age and gender, as of 31 March, 2012-2016, (number of children)
-
- Figure 25: Number of children looked after in Scotland, by age and gender, as of 31 July, 2012-16, (number of children)
-
- Figure 26: Number of children looked after in wales, by age and gender, as of 31 March, 2012-16, (number of children)
-
- Figure 27: Number of children looked after in the UK, by age and country, as of 31 March (rest of UK) and 31 July (Scotland), 2016, (% of children looked after)
Market Segmentation
-
- Key points
- Introduction
- Residential care
- Foster care
- Special education
-
- Figure 28: Segmentation of the UK market for children’s social care, by type of care, 2012/13-2016/17, (£ million)
-
- Figure 29: Segmentation of the UK market for children’s social care, by type of care, 2012/13 and 2016/17, (% of total market)
- Figure 30: Number of children looked after, at 31 March and 31 July, by placement type, UK, 2012-16, (number of children)
- Independent vs public supply
-
- Figure 31: Segmentation of the UK market for children’s social care, by type of provider, 2012/13-2016/17, (% and £ million)
-
- Figure 32: Segmentation of the UK market for children’s social care, by type of provider, 2012/13-2016/17, (% of total provision)
- Figure 33: Segmentation of the UK market for children’s social care, by sector and type of provider, 2012/13-2016/17, (% and £ million)
-
- Figure 34: Segmentation of the UK market for children’s social care, by sector and type of provider, 2012/13 and 2016/17, (% of total sector value)
- Children’s homes
-
- Figure 35: UK children’s home placements and average annual cost, at 31 March of each year (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) and 31 July of each year (Scotland), 2012/13-2016/17, (number of children and £ 000)
-
- Figure 36: UK children’s home placements and average annual cost, at 31 March of each year (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) and 31 July of each year (Scotland), 2012/13-2016/17, (number of children and £ 000)
-
- Figure 37: Number of children in children’s homes in Scotland, 2012-16, (number of children)
-
- Figure 38: Children’s homes in England, at 31 March 2016, by region, (number)
- Figure 39: Children’s homes in England, at 31 March 2016, by region and type of provision, (% of homes)
- Fostering services
-
- Figure 40: UK foster care placements and average annual cost, at 31 March of each year (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) and 31 July of each year (Scotland), 2012/13-2016/17, (number of children and £ 000)
-
- Figure 41: UK foster care placements and average annual cost, at 31 March of each year (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) and 31 July of each year (Scotland), 2012/13-2016/17, (number of children and £000)
-
- Figure 42: Foster placements in England, at 31 March of each year, by placement type and location, 2012-16, (number of children)
-
- Figure 43: UK fostering rates, 2016/17 and 2017/18, (£ per week)
- Special education
-
- Figure 44: UK market for SEN care, 2012/13-2016/17, (£ million)
-
- Figure 45: UK market for SEN care, 2012/13-2016/17, (£ million)
- Figure 46: Students with special educational needs, by school type, England, 2012/13-2016/17, (number of children and % of pupils in each school type)
-
- Figure 47: Students with special educational needs, by academy type, England, 2014-16, (number of children and % of pupils in each academy type)
Market Trends
-
- Key points
- Government leading drive to install new delivery model...
- ... though the shift towards independent trusts has been met with some resistance
-
- Figure 48: Referrals and initial assessments to children’s social care, England, 2011/12-2015/16, (number and rate per 10,000 children under 18 years)
-
- Figure 49: Number of referrals and initial assessments from referrals to children’s social care, England, 2011/12-2015/16, (number)
-
- Figure 50: Referrals to children’s social care, England, by most common source of referral, 2015/16, (%)
-
- Figure 51: Initial assessments to children’s social care, England, by most common primary need, 2015/16, (%)
- Children in poorer communities more likely to enter care system
- London is home to the most social workers, but also has the highest staff turnover
-
- Figure 52: Children’s social care workers in England, 2016, (number of fte workers and % turnover rate)
-
- Figure 53: Children’s social care workers in England, 2016, (number of FTE workers and % turnover rate)
- Growth in fostering care demand remains unsustainable
Industry Structure
-
- Key points
- Industry Development
- Ofsted inspections imply slight annual decline in number of homes
- Number of secure units remains constant after slight decline over previous years
-
- Figure 54: Number of secure children’s homes in the UK, by country, 2012-16, (number)
- Independent provision of services on the rise
-
- Figure 55: Proportion of all children’s homes in England run by state or independent organisations, by region, as of 30 September 2016, (%)
- Industry structure
-
- Figure 56: Analysis of the changes in the structure of other residential care activities, 2012-16, (number of outlets and businesses)
-
- Figure 57: Analysis of changes in the structure of ‘other residential care activities’, 2012-16, (number of outlets and businesses)
- Figure 58: Analysis of the changes in the structure of other social work activities without accommodation n.e.c., 2012-16, (number of outlets and businesses)
- Structure by employment
-
- Figure 59: Analysis of the employment structure of ‘other residential care activities’, 2015 and 2016, (number of employees and outlets)
-
- Figure 60: Analysis of the employment structure of other social work activities without accommodation n.e.c., 2015 and 2016, (number of employees and outlets)
- Structure by turnover
-
- Figure 61: Analysis of the financial structure of other residential care activities, 2015 and 2016, (£000 and number of businesses)
-
- Figure 62: Analysis of the financial structure of other social work activities without accommodation n.e.c., 2015 and 2016, (£000 and number of businesses)
Company Profiles
Acorn Care and Education
-
-
- Figure 63: Financial analysis of acorn care and education, 2011-15, (£ 000)
-
- Figure 64: Financial analysis of fostering solutions, 2011-15, (£ 000)
- Company strategy
-
Cambian Childcare (Formerly Advanced Childcare)
-
-
- Figure 65: Financial analysis of Cambian Childcare Limited, 2011-15, (£ 000)
- Company strategy
-
Foster Care Associates (Formerly Core Assets)
-
-
- Figure 66: Financial analysis of Foster Care Associates (formerly traded under Core Assets Group), 2011-15, (£ 000)
- Company strategy
-
Kedleston Education
-
-
- Figure 67: Financial analysis of Kedleston Education, 2012-15, (£ 000)
- Company strategy
-
Keys Group
-
-
- Figure 68: Financial analysis of Keys Group, 2012-16, (£ 000)
- Company strategy
-
The National Autistic Society
-
-
- Figure 69: Financial analysis of the National Autistic Society, 2012-16, (£ 000)
- Company strategy
-
National Fostering Agency
-
-
- Figure 70: Financial analysis of the National Fostering Agency, 2012-16, (£ 000)
- Company strategy
-
Priory Group
-
-
- Figure 71: Financial analysis of the Priory Group, 2011-2015, (£ Million)
-
- Figure 72: Financial analysis of the Priory Education Services, 2011-2015, (£ 000)
- Group strategy
-
- Figure 73: Profiled companies’ combined turnover, 2011-15, (£ million)
-
Forecast
-
- Key points
- Market size
- Diminishing rate of growth expected to 2021 due to external economic factors
-
- Figure 74: UK market forecast for children’s social care, 2017/18-2021/22, (£ million)
-
- Figure 75: UK market forecast for children’s social care, 2017/18-2021/22, (£ million)
- Market segmentation
- Special education spend expected to slow but still account for largest proportion of total market expenditure
-
- Figure 76: UK market segmentation forecast for children’s social care, by type of care, 2017/18-2021/22, (£ million)
-
- Figure 77: UK market segmentation forecast for children’s social care, by type of care, 2017/18-2021/22, (£ million)
- Increasing adoption rates could improve market efficiency and better allocate finances
- Improving the way that social care workers operate in the market can aid future development
- Additional funds released to improve innovation in the market
Further Sources and Contacts
-
- Trade associations
- Association of Directors of Children’s Services Ltd (ADCS)
- CoramBAAF Academy of Adoption and Fostering
- Independent Children’s Homes Association (ICHA)
- Nasen
- Nationwide Association of Fostering Providers (NAFP)
- National Children’s Bureau (NCB)
- National Portage Association
- Trade magazines
- Child Care (Monthly)
- Children & Young People Now (Fortnightly)
- Social Work News (Quarterly)
- Who Cares? (Quarterly)
- Trade Exhibitions
- ADCS Annual Conference 2017
- Community Care Live Manchester 2017
- National Children and Adult Services Conference 2017
- Skills for Care Annual Conference 2017
Back to top