Table of Contents
Executive Summary
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- Market size and segmentation
- Market on the move following stable economic recovery
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- Figure 1: UK Logistical Services Market Value, 2012-2016, (£ Billion)
- Road freight drives majority of market growth
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- Figure 2: UK Logistical Services Market Segmentation, by Type, 2012-2016, (£ Billion)
- Market trends
- More lorry journeys saved due to rail freight activity
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- Figure 3: Impact of Rail Freight on Road Haulage, 2010-2014, (Number of Equivalent HGV Lorry Journeys in Millions and Equivalent Distance Travelled in Billion Kilometres)
- E-commerce is leading to significant operational changes
- Lack of drivers with the required licenses or qualifications is affecting productivity
- Percentage of vehicles running empty remains fairly constant since 2012
- Market factors
- Uncertainties surrounding economic growth may affect industry development...
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- Figure 4: GDP Growth Rate, Q1 2012-Q2 2016, (% change on previous quarter)
- ... with Brexit likely to lead to operational changes
- Fuel prices continue to fall but UK’s competitive disadvantage remains
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- Figure 5: Typical Retail Cost of Fuel in the UK, by Type of Fuel, 2012-16*, (Pence per Litre)
- Large supply of drivers needed to meet rising demand
- Industry Structure
- Market competition intensifies
- Forecast
- Stable growth expected despite Brexit uncertainty
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- Figure 6: UK Logistical Services Market Value Forecast, 2017-2021, (£ Billion)
- What we think
Key Insights
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- Will the likely ‘to and fro’ nature of Brexit negotiations create uncertainty in the industry?
- How is the driver shortage affecting the industry? Is anything being done to improve recruitment?
- Can technology help improve efficiency and productivity?
Introduction
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- Definitions
- Methodology
- Abbreviations
- Market positioning
- The customer
- The supplier
- Regulation
UK Economy
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- Key points
- Overview
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- Figure 7: UK GDP, 2006-2016, (% Quarterly Growth and GDP in £ Billion)
- Figure 8: UK Output, by Industry, 2008-2016, (Index 2013 = 100)
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- Figure 9: Quarters after GDP Peak, 1979, 1990 and 2008, (Number of Quarters and GDP as % of PreDownturn Peak)
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- House prices
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- Figure 10: UK House Price changes, 2006-2016, (12-month % change)
- Consumer spending
- Manufacturing
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- Figure 11: UK Manufacturing, 2014-16, (Index, 2013 = 100)
- Business investment
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- Figure 12: UK GFCF 2005-15, (£ Million)
- Imports
- Exports
Market Factors
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- Key points
- Uncertainties surrounding economic growth may affect industry development...
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- Figure 13: GDP growth rate, Q1 2012-Q2 2016, (% change on previous quarter)
- Figure 14: GDP Growth Rate, Q1 2012-Q2 2016, (% change on previous quarter)
- ... with Brexit likely to lead to operational changes
- Continued growth in retail sales provides logistical opportunities
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- Figure 15: Retail Sales Trends, 2014-2016, (Percentage Volume Change on Same Month in Previous year, Seasonally-Adjusted)
- Fuel prices continue to fall but UK’s competitive disadvantage remains
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- Figure 16: Typical Retail Cost of Fuel and the Fuel Duty Level in the UK, 2012-16*, (Pence per Litre)
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- Figure 17: Typical Retail Cost of Fuel in the UK, by Type of Fuel, 2012-16*, (Pence per Litre)
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- Figure 18: European Petrol and Diesel Prices, 2016, (( per Litre)
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- Figure 19: European Petrol and Diesel Prices, 2016, (( per Litre)
- Large supply of drivers needed to meet rising demand
Market Size and Segmentation
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- Key points
- Market on the move following stable economic recovery
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- Figure 20: UK Logistical Services Market Value, 2012-2016, (£ Billion)
- Figure 21: UK Logistical Services Market Value, 2012-2016, (£ Billion)
- Road freight drives majority of industry growth
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- Figure 22: UK Logistical Services Market Segmentation, by Type, 2012-2016, (£ Billion)
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- Figure 23: UK Logistical Services Market Segmentation, by Type, 2012-2016, (£ Billion)
- Road Freight
- Market rebounds in 2015
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- Figure 24: Annual Road Freight Transport in the UK, 2011-15, (Million Tonnes Lifted, Billion Tonnes Kilometres Moved and Vehicle Million Kilometres Travelled)
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- Figure 25: Annual Road Freight Transport in the UK, 2011-15, (Million Tonnes Lifted)
- Figure 26: Annual Road Freight Transport in the UK, 2011-15, (Billion Tonnes Kilometres Moved)
- Figure 27: Annual Road Freight Transport in the UK, 2011-15, (Vehicle Million Kilometres Travelled)
- Continued decline in level of international road freight
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- Figure 28: Annual International Road Freight Transport by UK-Registered Vehicles, 2011-15, (Million Tonnes Lifted and Billion Tonne Kilometres Moved)
- Consolidation of growth in the amount of goods lifted in 2015...
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- Figure 29: Annual Goods Lifted in the UK, 2011-15, by Commodity Group, (Million Tonnes)
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- Figure 30: Annual Goods Lifted in the UK, 2011 and 2015, by Commodity Group, (% of Total)
- Figure 31: Annual Goods Lifted in the UK, 2011-15, by Region and Country of Origin, (Million Tonnes)
- ... but volume of goods lifted outward from and inward to the UK by UK-registered vehicles continue to decline
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- Figure 32: Annual Goods Lifted Outward from and Inward to the UK by UK-Registered Vehicles, 2011-15, by Commodity Group, (000 Tonnes)
- International goods lifted outward from and inward to the UK by foreign-registered vehicles reaches three-year high
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- Figure 33: International Goods Lifted Outward from and Inward to the UK by Foreign-Registered HGVs, 2010-14, by European Country, (000 tonnes unloaded in the UK)
- Significant growth in 2015 provides market with a five-year high value
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- Figure 34: Annual Goods Moved in the UK, 2011-15, by Commodity Group, (Billion Tonne Kilometres)
- Figure 35: Annual Goods Moved in the UK, 2011 and 2015, by Commodity Group, (% of Total)
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- Figure 36: Annual Goods Moved in the UK, 2011-15, by Region and Country of Origin, (Million Tonne Kilometres)
- Recent international performance contrasts with domestic market
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- Figure 37: Annual Goods Moved Outward from and Inward To the UK by UK-Registered Vehicles, 2011-15, by Commodity Group, (Million Tonne Kilometres)
- Port (marine) freight
- Port freight traffic continues to decline
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- Figure 38: UK Port Freight Traffic, by Major and Minor Ports, 2011-2015, (000 Tonnes)
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- Figure 39: UK Port Freight Traffic, by Major and Minor Ports, 2011-2015, (000 Tonnes)
- Figure 40: UK Major Port Container Traffic, 2011-15, by Size of Container, (000 Units)
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- Figure 41: UK Major Port Container Traffic, 2011 and 2015, by Size of Container, (000 Units)
- Figure 42: International and Domestic Major and Minor Port Freight Traffic, by Traffic Direction, 2011-2015, (Million Tonnes)
- Reductions in liquid bulk traffic form a large part of the overall fall in major port traffic
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- Figure 43: UK Major Port Traffic, by Commodity Group, 2011-2015, (000 Tonnes)
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- Figure 44: UK Major Port Inward Traffic, by Commodity Group, 2011-2015, (000 Tonnes)
- Figure 45: UK Major Port Outward Traffic, by Commodity Group, 2011-2015, (000 Tonnes)
- Figure 46: International UK Major Port Freight Traffic, 2011-15, by Commodity Group and Traffic Direction, (000 Tonnes)
- Grimsby & Immingham represents busiest UK port in terms of tonnage
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- Figure 47: Major UK Ports, Top 10, by Total Tonnage, 2014 and 2015, (000 Tonnes and % of Total UK Tonnage)
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- Figure 48: Major UK Ports, Top 10, by Total Tonnage, 2014 and 2015, (% of Total UK Tonnage)
- Felixstowe holds the most freight units and trade vehicles in the UK
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- Figure 49: Major UK Ports, Top 10, by Main Freight Units and Trade Vehicles, 2014 and 2015, (000 Units)
- Figure 50: Major UK Ports, Top 10, by Main Freight Units and Trade Vehicles, 2015, (000 Units)
- Passenger and other vessels record net ship arrival growth
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- Figure 51: Number of Ship Arrivals at UK Ports, by Type and Deadweight, 2015, (Number of Vessels)
- Figure 52: Number of Ship Arrivals at UK Ports, by Type and Deadweight, 2015, (Number of Vessels)
- Declining UK interest in large trading ships
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- Figure 53: UK Interest in Trading Ships of 100 Gross Tons and Over, by Type of Interest, 2011-2015, (Deadweight Million Tonnage)
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- Figure 54: UK Interest in Trading Ships of 100 Gross Tons and Over, by Type of Interest, 2011-2015, (Deadweight Million Tonnage)
- Non-trading vessels most commonly owned by the UK, but UK-owned ‘other’ dry cargo vessels carry the most freight
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- Figure 55: UK-Owned Vessels of 100 Gross Tons and Over, by Type, at 31 December 2014 and 2015, (Number of Vessels and Gross Tonnage in 000 Tons)
- Rail freight
- Steep decline in freight train movements experienced in 2015...
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- Figure 56: Great Britain Freight Train Movements, 2011-2015, (Number)
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- Figure 57: Great Britain Freight Train Movements, 2011-2015, (Number)
- ... which contributed to a large fall in the mass of freight goods carried
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- Figure 58: Mass of Freight Goods Carried on the Rail Network, by Type of Good, 2011/12-2015/16, (Million Tonnes)
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- Figure 59: Mass of Freight Goods Carried on the Rail Network, by Type of Good, 2011/12-2015/16, (Million Tonnes)
- Amount of freight moved peaks in 2013/14
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- Figure 60: Amount of Freight Moved on the Rail Network, by Type, 2011/12-2015/16, (Billion Net Tonne Kilometres)
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- Figure 61: Amount of Freight Moved on the Rail Network, by Type, 2011/12 and 2015/16, (% of Total Freight Moved)
- DB Cargo UK travels furthest for freight means
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- Figure 62: Actual Freight Train Kilometres on Network Rail Infrastructure, by Operator, 2011-2015, (Million Kilometres)
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- Figure 63: Actual Freight Train Kilometres on Network Rail Infrastructure, by Operator, 2011 and 2015, (Million Kilometres)
- Increasing number of lorry journeys saved due to rail freight activity
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- Figure 64: Impact of Rail Freight on Road Haulage, 2010-2014, (Number of Equivalent HGV Lorry Journeys in Millions and Equivalent Distance Travelled in Billion Kilometres)
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- Figure 65: Impact of Rail Freight on Road Haulage, 2010-2014, (Number of Equivalent HGV Lorry Journeys in Millions and Equivalent Distance Travelled in Billion Kilometres)
- Air freight
- Mixed performance in the air freight market
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- Figure 66: UK Air Freight, by Aircraft Configuration and Area, 2011-2015, (Tonnes)
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- Figure 67: UK Air Freight, by Aircraft Configuration, 2011-2015, (Tonnes)
- Figure 68: UK Air Freight, by Area, 2015, (% of Total Freight per Aircraft Configuration)
Market Trends
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- Key points
- Latest industry confidence index implies low expectations going forward
- Intermodal market on the rise?
- E-commerce is leading to significant operational changes...
- ... including in vehicle design and operation
- Lack of drivers who obtain the required licenses or qualifications is affecting productivity
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- Figure 69: Number of Practical LGV Tests Conducted and Pass Rate, 2011/12-2015/16, by Gender, (% Pass Rate and Number of Practical Tests)
- Other trends
- Percentage of vehicles running empty remains fairly constant since 2012
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- Figure 70: Vehicle Percentage Empty Running and Loading Factors, 2011-15, by Type and Weight of Vehicle, (%)
- Telematics
- Improved fuel efficiency in rigid vehicles since 2011 has been helped by a decline in the length of haul
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- Figure 71: Average Length of Haul, 2011-15, by Type and Weight of Vehicle, (Kilometres)
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- Figure 72: Average Length of Haul, 2011-15, by Type of Vehicle, (Kilometres)
- Figure 73: Fuel Consumption, 2011-15, by HGV Vehicle Type in Great Britain, (Miles per Gallon)
Industry Structure
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- Key points
- Industry development
- Market competition intensifies
- Industry structure
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- Figure 74: Analysis of the Changes in the Structure of the Freight Transport by Rail Industry, 2012-2016, (Number of Outlets and Businesses)
- Figure 75: Analysis of the Changes in the Structure of the Freight Transport by Road Industry, 2012-2016, (Number of Outlets and Businesses)
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- Figure 76: Analysis of the Changes in the Structure of the Removal Services Industry, 2012-2016, (Number of Outlets and Businesses)
- Figure 77: Analysis of the Changes in the Structure of the Sea and Coastal Freight Water Transport Industry, 2012-2016, (Number of Outlets and Businesses)
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- Figure 78: Analysis of the Changes in the Structure of the Freight Transport by Inland Waterway Industry, 2012-2016, (Number of Outlets and Businesses)
- Figure 79: Analysis of the Changes in the Structure of the Freight Transport by Air Industry, 2012-2016, (Number of Outlets and Businesses)
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- Figure 80: Analysis of the Changes in the Structure of the Operation of Warehousing and Storage Facilities Industry, 2012-2016, (Number of Outlets and Businesses)
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- Figure 81: Analysis of the Changes in the Structure of the Services Incidental to Water Transportation Industry, 2012-2016, (Number of Outlets and Businesses)
- Figure 82: Analysis of the Changes in the Structure of the Other Transportation Support Activities Industry, 2012-2016, (Number of Outlets and Businesses)
- Structure by employment
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- Figure 83: Analysis of the Employment Structure of the Freight Transport by Rail Industry, 2015-2016, (Number of Outlets and Outlet Employment Size)
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- Figure 84: Analysis of the Employment Structure of the Freight Transport by Road Industry, 2015-2016, (Number of Outlets and Outlet Employment Size)
- Figure 85: Analysis of the Employment Structure of the Removal Services Industry, 2015-2016, (Number of Outlets and Outlet Employment Size)
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- Figure 86: Analysis of the Employment Structure of the Sea and Coastal Freight Water Transport Industry, 2015-2016, (Number of Outlets and Outlet Employment Size)
- Figure 87: Analysis of the Employment Structure of the Freight Transport by Inland Waterway Industry, 2015-2016, (Number of Outlets and Outlet Employment Size)
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- Figure 88: Analysis of the Employment Structure of the Freight Transport by Air Industry, 2015-2016, (Number of Outlets and Outlet Employment Size)
- Figure 89: Analysis of the Employment Structure of the Operation of Warehousing and Storage Facilities Industry, 2015-2016, (Number of Outlets and Outlet Employment Size)
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- Figure 90: Analysis of the Employment Structure of the Services Incidental to Water Transportation Industry, 2015-2016, (Number of Outlets and Outlet Employment Size)
- Figure 91: Analysis of the Employment Structure of the Other Transportation Support Activities Industry, 2015-2016, (Number of Outlets and Outlet Employment Size)
- Structure by turnover
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- Figure 92: Analysis of the Financial Structure of the Freight Transport by Rail Industry, 2015-2016, (£ 000 and % of Total Turnover)
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- Figure 93: Analysis of the Financial Structure of the Freight Transport by Road Industry, 2015-2016, (£ 000 and % of Total Turnover)
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- Figure 94: Analysis of the Financial Structure of the Removal Services Industry, 2015-2016, (£ 000 and % of Total Turnover)
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- Figure 95: Analysis of the Financial Structure of the Sea and Coastal Freight Water Transport Industry, 2015-2016, (£ 000 and % of Total Turnover)
- Figure 96: Analysis of the Financial Structure of the Freight Transport by Inland Waterway Industry, 2015-2016, (£ 000 and % of Total Turnover)
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- Figure 97: Analysis of the Financial Structure of the Freight Transport by Air Industry, 2015-2016, (£ 000 and % of Total Turnover)
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- Figure 98: Analysis of the Financial Structure of the Operation of Warehousing and Storage Facilities Industry, 2015-2016, (£ 000 and % of Total Turnover)
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- Figure 99: Analysis of the Financial Structure of the Services Incidental to Water Transportation Industry, 2015-2016, (£ 000 and % of Total Turnover)
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- Figure 100: Analysis of the Financial Structure of the Other Transportation Support Activities Industry, 2015-2016, (£ 000 and % of Total Turnover)
Company Profiles
Canute Distribution
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- Figure 101: Financial Analysis of Canute Distribution, 2011-15, (£ Million)
- Company Strategy
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CEVA Logistics (formerly TNT Logistics)
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- Figure 102: Financial Analysis of CEVA Logistics, 2011-15, (£ Million)
- Company Strategy
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DHL Supply Chain
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- Figure 103: Financial Analysis of DHL Supply Chain, 2011-15, (£ Million)
- Company Strategy
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Eddie Stobart
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- Figure 104: Financial Analysis of Eddie Stobart, 2011-15, (£ Million)
- Company Strategy
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Gist Limited
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- Figure 105: Financial Analysis of Gist Limited, 2011-15, (£ Million)
- Company Strategy
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HOYER Petrolog UK (formerly HOYER UK Limited)
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- Figure 106: Financial Analysis of Hoyer Petrolog UK Limited, 2011-15, (£ Million)
- Company Strategy
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Kuehne + Nagel
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- Figure 107: Financial Analysis of Kuehne + Nagel, 2010-14, (£ Million)
- Company Strategy
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Lloyd Fraser Group
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- Figure 108: Financial Analysis of Lloyd Fraser Holdings Company Ltd, 2011-15, (£ Million)
- Company Strategy
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NFT Distribution Holdings
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- Figure 109: Financial Analysis of NFT Distribution Holdings, 2011-15, (£ Million)
- Company Strategy
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Wincanton Holdings
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- Figure 110: Financial Analysis of Wincanton Holdings, 2011-15, (£ Million)
- Company Strategy
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- Figure 111: Profiled Companies’ Combined Turnover, 2011-2015, (£ Million)
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Forecast
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- Key points
- Stable growth expected despite Brexit uncertainty
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- Figure 112: UK Logistical Services Market Value Forecast, 2017-2021, (£ Billion at 2016 Prices)
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- Figure 113: UK Logistical Services Market Value Forecast, 2017-2021, (£ Billion at 2016 Prices)
- Road freight will continue to drive market development
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- Figure 114: UK Logistical Services Market Segmentation Forecast, by Type, 2017-2021, (£ Billion at 2016 Prices)
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- Figure 115: UK Logistical Services Market Segmentation Forecast, by Type, 2017-2021, (% of Total Market)
- Retail e-commerce is shaping industry structure
- Industry has mixed opinions on technology adoption
- Environmental concerns remain
Further Sources and Contacts
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- Trade associations
- Trade magazines
- Trade exhibitions
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