Table of Contents
Executive Summary
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- Market size
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- Figure 1: Total motor vehicle production, 2011-15, (units)
- Figure 2: Total motor vehicle registrations, by volume, 2011-15, (units)
- Market trends
- Environmental concerns at the forefront of the market and wider manufacturing operations
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- Figure 3: Ultra low emissions commercial vehicles registered for the first time, 2010-15, (units)
- Returning customer and business expenditure has driven recent market expansion
- The surge of connected technology is set to dramatically change the haulage industry
- The Emissions Scandal
- Forecast
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- Figure 4: Production forecasts, 2016-20, (millions)
- Figure 5: Registration forecasts, 2016-20, (millions)
- Increasingly pragmatic approach to car ownership
- Consolidation of e-commerce
- What we think
Key Insights
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- What impact has the Volkswagen Emissions Scandal had on the cars and commercial vehicles market, both immediate and more long term?
- What was the significance of foreign investment in the British automotive industry's revival?
- What impact will the EU Referendum result have?
Introduction
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- Issues in the market
- Definitions
- Methodology
- Abbreviations
- Market positioning
UK Economy
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- Key points
- Overview
- Independent forecasts are tending to 2.5% GDP growth in 2015 and 2.3% in 2016
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- Figure 6: UK GDP quarterly development, 2005-15, (£ billion)
- Figure 7: Quarters after GDP peak, 1979, 1990 and 2008, (number of quarters and GDP as % of pre-downturn peak)
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- House prices
- Consumer spending
- Manufacturing
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- Figure 8: UK output, by industry, 2008-15, (index: Q1 2008 = 100)
- Business investment
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- Figure 9: UK GFCF 2005-15, (£ million)
- Imports
- Exports
Market Factors and Trends
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- Key points
- Drive for sustainability
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- Figure 10: CO2 emissions, by sector, 2014, (% of total CO2 emissions)
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- Figure 11: Ultra low emissions commercial vehicles registered for the first time, 2010-15, (000)
- Economic recovery
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- Figure 12: Total market vehicle registrations, by volume, and GDP growth, %, 2006-15 (units)
- Driverless lorries
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- Figure 13: UK production of connected cars forecast, 2015-30, (% of new cars with connectivity system)
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- Figure 14: UK production of connected cars forecast, 2015-30, (%)
- The Emissions Scandal
Market Size
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- Key points
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- Figure 15: Total motor vehicle registrations, by volume, 2006-15, (units)
- Figure 16: Total motor vehicle registrations, by volume, 2006-15, (units)
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- Figure 17: UK motor vehicles in use, 2011-15, (000)
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- Figure 18: UK motor vehicles in use, 2011-15, (000)
- Figure 19: Total motor vehicle production, 2011-15, (units and % total annual change)
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- Figure 20: Total motor vehicle production, 2011-15, (% total annual change)
Market Segmentation
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- Key points
- Passenger cars
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- Figure 21: Passenger cars licensed, by keepership, 2011-15, (000)
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- Figure 22: Passenger cars licensed, by keepership, 2011-15, (000)
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- Figure 23: Car models, largest five, by UK production volume, 2014, (units)
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- Figure 24: Car models, largest five, by UK production volume, 2014, (units)
- Commercial vehicles
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- Figure 25: Commercial vehicle production, 2014 and 2015, (units and % share)
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- Figure 26: Commercial vehicle production, 2014 and 2015, (units and % share)
- Figure 27: Commercial vehicle registration, 2011-15, (000)
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- Figure 28: Commercial vehicle registration, 2011-15, (000)
- Figure 29: Commercial vehicle manufacturing, largest five, by brand, 2014, (volume)
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- Figure 30: Commercial vehicle manufacturing, largest five, by brand, 2014, (volume)
- Regional analysis of the British automotive industry
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- Figure 31: Number of enterprises engaged in the manufacture of motor vehicles, by region, 2014 and 2015, (units)
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- Figure 32: Number of enterprises engaged in the sale of new cars and light motor vehicles, by region, 2014 and 2015, (units)
Global Market
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- Key points
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- Figure 33: Global automotive production statistics, 2015, (in units)
- Figure 34: Global automotive production statistics, 2015, (in units)
- The pivotal importance of EU membership
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- Figure 35: Global trade car manufacturing and exports, 2014 and 2015, (in units and % annual change)
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- Figure 36: Global trade car manufacturing, 2014 and 2015, by brand, (in units and % annual change)
Industry Structure
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- Key points
- Industry development
- Merger & acquisition activity
- Changes in the structure of the industry
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- Figure 37: Analysis of the changes in the structure of the manufacture of motor vehicles industry, 2011-15, (number of outlets and businesses)
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- Figure 38: Analysis of the changes in the structure of the sale of new and used cars and light motor vehicles industry, 2011-15, (Number of outlets and businesses)
- Structure by employment
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- Figure 39: Analysis of the employment structure of the manufacture of motor vehicles industry, 2014 and 2015, (number of employees and outlets)
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- Figure 40: Analysis of the employment structure of the sale of new and used cars and light vehicles industry, 2014 and 2015, (number of employees and outlets)
- Structure by turnover
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- Figure 41: Analysis of the financial structure of the manufacture of motor vehicles industry, 2014 and 2015, (£000 and number of businesses)
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- Figure 42: Analysis of the financial structure of the sale of new and used cars and light motor vehicles industry, 2014 and 2015, (£000 and number of businesses)
Company profiles
Daimler UK Ltd
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- Figure 43: Financial analysis of Daimler Group, 2011-15, (€ million)
- Company strategy
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Ford Motor Co Ltd
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- Figure 44: Financial analysis of Ford Motor Co Ltd, 2010-14, (£ million)
- Company strategy
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General Motors UK Ltd
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- Figure 45: Financial analysis of General Motors UK Ltd, 2010-14, (£ million)
- Company strategy
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Peugeot Motor Company Ltd
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- Figure 46: Financial analysis of Peugeot Motor Company Ltd, 2010-14, (£ million)
- Company strategy
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Volkswagen Group UK Ltd
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- Figure 47: Financial analysis of Volkswagen Group UK Ltd, 2010-14, (£ million)
- Company strategy
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Volvo Group UK Ltd
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- Figure 48: Financial analysis of Volvo Group UK Ltd, 2010-14, (£ million)
- Company strategy
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Forecast
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- Key points
- Increasingly pragmatic approach to car ownership
- Uncertainty around Brexit
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- Figure 49: UK forecast motor vehicle registrations, 2016-20, (million units)
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- Figure 50: UK forecast motor vehicle registrations, 2016-20, (million units)
- Figure 51: UK forecast motor vehicle production, 2016-20, (million units)
- Consolidation of e-commerce and its knock on effect on the commercial vehicle sector
Further Sources and Contacts
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- Trade associations
- British Vehicle Rental and Leasing Association (BVRLA)
- Confederation of Passenger Transport UK (CPT)
- European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA)
- Freight Transport Association (FTA)
- International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA)
- The National Franchised Dealers Association
- Retail Motor Industry Federation (RMI)
- Road Haulage Association (RHA)
- Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT)
- Trade magazines
- Auto Trader
- Commercial Vehicle Dealer
- FACTS Magazine
- Motor Trader Magazine
- Van User
- Trucking Magazine
- Trade exhibitions
- Automechanika Birmingham
- The Commercial Vehicle Show
- Multimodal
- Tip-ex and Tank-ex
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