Table of Contents
Executive Summary
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- The market
- Electricity supplied from coal-fired stations down in 2013
- Total renewable electricity generation has more than doubled between 2009 and 2013
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- Figure 1: Analysis of electricity supplied in the UK, by type of fuel used in generation, 2013
- UK dependent on imported natural gas
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- Figure 2: UK Gas Supply, 2009-13
- Average dual fuel bills more than doubled over the last 10 years
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- Figure 3: Breakdown of average domestic dual fuel bill, 2013
- More people switching to smaller energy suppliers
- Market factors
- Electricity Market Reform (EMR) to ensure investment in UK’s low-carbon electricity infrastructure
- Government sending mixed signals to wind generation sector
- Subsidies for large solar farms to be scrapped from April 2015
- Old coal-fired power stations to be faced out
- First new UK nuclear power station in a generation receives official go-ahead by European Commission
- Government supports new generation of gas-fired power stations
- Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) investigating big six suppliers
- Roll-out of smart meters at centre of key changes to energy supply market over the next few years
- The industry
- What we think
Introduction
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- Definitions
- Methodology
- Abbreviations
- Market positioning
UK Economy
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- Overview
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Consumer spending
- Manufacturing
- Business investment
Market Factors
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- Key points
- Industry regulation
- Legislative environment
- Large Combustion Plant Directive (LCPD)
- EU Renewables Directives
- UK renewables policy
- Renewables Obligation (RO)
- FeedIn Tariffs (FITs)
- The Renewable Heat Incentive
- Electricity Market Reform
- Carbon Emission Reduction Target (CERT) and Community Energy Saving Programme (CESP)
- Energy Company Obligation (ECO)
- Key analysis
Electricity Demand and Generation
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- Key points
- Overview
- UK facing power capacity crunch
- Electricity supply
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- Figure 4: Analysis of electricity supply in the UK, 2009-13(Gwh)
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- Figure 5: Analysis of electricity supply in the UK, 2009-13
- Figure 6: Analysis of electricity supplied in the UK, by type of fuel used in generation, 2009-13 (Twh)
- Electricity consumption by end-use sector
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- Figure 7: Analysis of electricity usage, by type of industry, UK, 2007-13 (Gwh)
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- Figure 8: Analysis of electricity usage, by the commercial sector, 200913 (Gwh)
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- Figure 9: Analysis of electricity usage by the commercial sector, 2013
- Coal generation
- Key analysis
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- Figure 10: Analysis of electricity supplied from coal-fired power stations in the UK, 2009-13 (Twh)
- Nuclear Power generation
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- Figure 11: UK Nuclear Sites Planned Closure Dates, as of September 2014 (Year)
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- Figure 12: Analysis of electricity supplied from nuclear power stations in the UK, 2009-13 (Twh)
- Gas/CCGT generation
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- Figure 13: Analysis of electricity supplied from gas-fired power stations in the UK, 2009-13 (Twh)
- Figure 14: Analysis of electricity supplied from gas-fired power stations in the UK, 2009-13
- Renewables generation
- Key analysis
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- Figure 15: Renewable electricity generation in the UK, 2009-13 (Gwh)
- Figure 16: Electricity generation from on- and offshore wind, 2009-13
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- Figure 17: Renewable electricity generation capacity awaiting/under construction, as of August 2014
Gas Demand and Supply
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- Key points
- Overview
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- Figure 18: Total UK gas supply, 2009-13 (Gwh)
- Potential for shale gas extraction
- Wholesale gas prices
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- Figure 19: Average wholesales gas prices, 2002-13 (£/therm)
- Figure 20: Average wholesale gas prices, 200913
- Gas demand by end-user
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- Figure 21: Segmentation of industrial gas consumption, by end use industries, UK, 2009-13 (GWh)
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- Figure 22: Segmentation of gas consumption, by non-industrial sectors, UK, 200913 (GWh)
- Figure 23: Segmentation of gas consumption, by non-industrial sectors, 2013
- Power generation
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- Figure 24: Gas supplied for electricity generation, UK, 2009-13 (Gwh)
- Interruptible
- Industrial
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- Figure 25: Gas supplied to the industrial sector, UK, 2009-13 (Gwh)
- Commercial
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- Figure 26: Gas supplied to the UK commercial sector, 2009-13 (Gwh)
- Domestic
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- Figure 27: Analysis of the development of gas supplied to the UK domestic sector, 2009-13 (Gwh)
Retail Energy Market
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- Key points
- Market background
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- Figure 28: Proportion of domestic electricity customers by supplier type, by region, 2000 and 2013 (%)
- Key analysis:
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- Figure 29: Proportion of domestic gas customers of British Gas Trading and other suppliers, by region, 2013(%)
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- Figure 30: Number of supplier switches in the domestic gas and electricity markets, Great Britain, Q1 2010 - Q2 2014 (number 000s)
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- Figure 31: Number of supplier switches in the domestic gas and electricity markets, Great Britain, Q1 2010 - Q2 2014
- Regional demand
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- Figure 32: Gas sales and customers by region, Great Britain, 2012 (000's and Gwh)
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- Figure 33: Electricity sales and customers by region, Great Britain, 2012 (000's and Gwh)
- Market issues
- Rise in energy bills and dominance of the ‘big six’ suppliers
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- Figure 34: Breakdown of average domestic electricity& gas household bill, 2013
- Figure 35: Breakdown of average domestic dual fuel bill, 2013
- Innovative smaller suppliers gaining market share
- Poor customer complaints handling remains an industry-wide issue
- Retail market review
- Key analysis
- Smart meter roll-out
- Smart meters aim to give consumers the following benefits:
The Consumer – Current Supplier
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- Key points
- British Gas named as top supplier of gas and electricity
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- Figure 36: Current gas supplier, July 2014
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- Figure 37: Current electricity supplier, July 2014
- A quarter of people have changed energy supplier in past 12 months
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- Figure 38: Change of gas/electricity supplier in the last 12 months, July 2014
The Consumer – Reasons For Switching and Future Intentions
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- Key points
- Finding a cheaper tariff on price comparison site key reason for switching
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- Figure 39: Reasons for changing gas/electricity supplier in the last 12 months, July 2014
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- Figure 40: Plans to change gas/electricity supplier in the next 12 months, July 2014
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- Figure 41: Possible reasons for wanting to change gas/electricity supplier, July 2014
Company Profiles
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- Key points
- Company profiles
Centrica/British Gas Trading
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- British Gas
- Direct Energy
- Centrica Energy
- Centrica Storage – Gas storage in the UK
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- Figure 42: Financial analysis of Centrica, 2009-13 (£ million)
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- Figure 43: Centrica revenue segmental analysis, 2013 (£ million)
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- Figure 44: Financial analysis of British Gas Trading, 2009-13 (£ million)
EDF Energy
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- Figure 45: Financial analysis of EDF Energy, 2009-13 (£ million)
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- Figure 46: EDF Energy revenue segmental analysis, 2013 (£ million)
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RWE Npower
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- Figure 47: Financial analysis of Npower, 2009-13 (£ million)
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- Figure 48: RWE - UK revenue segmental analysis, 2013 (£ million)
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E.ON Energy
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- Figure 49: Financial analysis of E.ON Energy Solutions, 2008-12 (£ million)
- Electricity supply licensees
- Gas supply licensees
- Generation licensees
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- Figure 50: E.ON revenue segmental analysis, 2013 (£ million)
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ScottishPower Energy Retail
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- Figure 51: Financial analysis of ScottishPower Energy Retail, 2009-13 (£ million)
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- Figure 52: ScottishPower revenue segmental analysis, 2013 (£ million)
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Sse
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- Figure 53: Financial analysis of SSE, 2010-14 (£ million)
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- Figure 54: SSE revenue segmental analysis, 2014 (£ million)
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Ecotricity Group
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- Figure 55: Financial analysis of Ecotricity Group, 2009-13 (£ 000)
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First Utility
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- Figure 56: Financial analysis of First Utility, 2009-13 (£ thousand)
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Good Energy Group
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- Figure 57: Financial analysis of Good Energy Group, 2009-13 (£ 000)
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- Figure 58: Turnover analysis of Good Energy Group, by segment, 2012-13 (£ 000)
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Future Energy Demand
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- Key points
- Electricity Generation Forecast
- National Grid’s Electricity 10-Year Statement
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- Figure 59: Annual power demand in Great Britain, 2015-35 (TWh)
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- Figure 60: Annual power demand in Great Britain, 2015-35
- Future Potential Energy Mix
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- Figure 61: Forecast power generation installed capacity under “slow progression” scenario, by source, 2014-35 (MW)
- Figure 62: Forecast power generation installed capacity under “gone green” scenario, by source, 2014-35 (MW)
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- Figure 63: Forecast power generation installed capacity under “no progression” scenario, by source, 2014-35 (MW)
- Figure 64: Forecast power generation installed capacity under “low carbon life” scenario, by source, 2014-35 (GW)
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- Figure 64: Chart 15: Future potential energy mix in 2035, by scenario
- Interconnectivity between European countries to increase
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- Figure 65: Existing and planned interconnectors, as of November 2013
- Gas demand forecast
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- Figure 66: Forecast UK gas demand, 2014-35 (TWh)
Further Sources and Contacts
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- Trade associations and regulatory bodies
- Trade magazines
- Trade exhibitions
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