What you need to know

The pasta category remains sizable, but its roughly $5 billion in annual sales has been largely stagnant in recent years and is expected to decline significantly through 2023. Concerns about carbs and weight loss appear to be strongly impacting consumer behavior. At the same time, health-oriented advances such as vegetables and protein in pasta could stem some of those sales declines and give brands the opportunity to leverage a premium positioning and price.

Definition

For the purposes of this Report, Mintel has used the following definitions:

This Report builds on the analysis in Mintel’s Dry Pasta, Rice and Noodles, US, February 2014; Dry Pasta, Rice, Noodles and Ancient Grains – US, February 2013; as well as Pasta, Rice, and Noodles – US, March 2012; Side Dishes: The Market – US, June 2010; Side Dishes: The Consumer – US, June 2010; Side Dishes – US, June 2009; Pasta and Pasta-based Meals – US, April 2009, as well as the March 2007, December 2005, and June 2002 Reports of the same title. For the purposes of this Report, dry pasta and noodles are covered as per the following definitions:

  • dry pasta and noodles: includes spaghetti, macaroni, and other varieties/shapes of dry pasta; dried noodles, including egg noodles and various forms of Asian noodles

  • dry macaroni and cheese mixes

  • dry pasta meal and side dish mixes

  • refrigerated and frozen pasta

Other than for comparison’s sake, ramen soup kits (noodles packaged with flavorings), refrigerated and frozen meals, and macaroni and cheese are excluded, as are shelf-stable canned pasta and shelf-stable ready-to-serve pasta dishes.

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