Table of Contents
Introduction
-
- Definition
- Abbreviations
Executive Summary
-
- Light at the end of the tunnel for the pubs industry?
-
- Figure 1: UK pub industry market size and forecast 2006-16
- Market factors
-
- Figure 2: Trends in visiting pubs/bars for a drink or a meal, Q1 2007-Q1 2012
- Pub visiting declines
- Competition from in-home drinking intensifies…
- … but minimum pricing could ease some of those pressures
- More red tape
- Closures continue but rate of closures slows
- Government opts for further voluntary regulation
- Britons drinking less
- Economy and confidence hold pubs back
- Companies, products and innovation
-
- Figure 3: Leading UK pub operators, by turnover, 2010/11
- The consumer
-
- Figure 4: Pub visiting frequency, February 2012
- Figure 5: Factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
-
- Figure 6: Pub visiting behaviour, February 2012
-
- Figure 7: Attitudes towards pubs, February 2012
- Figure 8: Pub target groups, February 2012
- What we think
Issues in the Market
-
- How might minimum pricing impact on the pubs industry?
- What opportunities are presented by the Jubilee, Euro 2012 and Olympics?
- What can pubs do to mitigate the impact of rising costs?
- How can pubs capitalise on the trend towards localism?
Future Opportunities
-
- Trend: Experience Is All
- Trend: Let’s Make a Deal
Internal Market Environment
-
- Key points
- Pub visiting – particularly for a meal – continues to decline
-
- Figure 9: Trends in visiting pubs/bars for a drink or a meal, Q1 2007-Q1 2012
- Figure 10: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars for a drink or for a meal, at least once a week, 2007-11
- Consumers still enjoy a night out at the pub when they go
-
- Figure 11: Agreement with selected lifestyle statements on drinking, 2007-11
- Out of home drinking declines sharply
-
- Figure 12: Trends in consumption of alcohol, in home versus out of home (past 12 months), 2007-11
- Figure 13: Drinking habits, by where they drink – over-18s and 18-24s, 2011
- Drink and be merry
-
- Figure 14: Agreement with selected lifestyle statements on drinking, by age, 2007-11
- The drinks gender gap
-
- Figure 15: Types of drink drunk in a bar/café/pub/restaurant, by gender, 2011
- Per capita alcohol consumption in decline
-
- Figure 16: Trends in UK per capita consumption of 100% alcohol, 2006-10
- Smokers still visit pubs despite ban
-
- Figure 17: Cigarette smoking, by participation in selected leisure activities, July-September 2011
- On-trade price rises outstrip inflation as on/off differential grows
-
- Figure 18: Trends in all prices versus those of alcoholic drinks, by channel, 2006-11
- On-trade beer decline continues as gap between channels narrows
-
- Figure 19: Volume trends in the sales of beer by channel, 2006-11
- Minimum alcohol price pledge offers some hope to on-trade
- Late-night levy and Early Morning Restriction Orders increase pressure
- Beer duty increase in 2012 Budget set to push prices higher still
-
- Figure 20: Average price paid for a pint of draught lager in UK, 1991-2011
- Figure 21: Trends in real ale and lager prices in pubs, 2008-11
- Rising food prices put pressure on catering element
-
- Figure 22: Trends in all prices versus those of food and catering, 2006-11
- Utility price rises place further pressure on publicans
-
- Figure 23: Trends in utility prices* paid by non-domestic consumers, 2006-11
- Business rates set to jump
-
- Figure 24: Trends in the average rateable value of pubs in England & Wales, 2005-11
- On-trade clubs together
- Gaming machine revenue sources under threat
-
- Figure 25: Gaming machines (eg in a pub/bookmakers) played/taken part, 2006-11
- Sky Sports price freeze provides temporary respite for publicans
-
- Figure 26: Watching sports in pubs, bars or clubs, 2010-11
- The changing structure of the pub trade
-
- Figure 27: Trends in pub openings and closures 2007-11
- Figure 28: Trends in pub openings and closures by tenure, 2008-11
- Voluntary code of practice: better protection for leaseholders and tenants?
Broader Market Environment
-
- Key points
- Household income squeeze continues
-
- Figure 29: GDP, PDI, consumer expenditure and savings, at constant 2011 prices, 2006-16
- Figure 30: Trends in UK Quarterly GDP, Q1 2006-Q4 2011
-
- Figure 31: Trends in consumer confidence, January 2008-February 2012
- Growth in numbers of 25-34-year-old men positive for pubs
-
- Figure 32: Trends in the age structure of the UK population, by gender, 2006-16
- ABC growth set to favour pubs
-
- Figure 33: Forecast adult population trends, by socio-economic group, 2006-16
- Retired and family lifestages set to show most growth
-
- Figure 34: Forecast adult population trends, by lifestage, 2006-16
- VAT hike hits pubs hard
-
- Figure 35: Trends in VAT rates in the UK, 2007-11
Competitive Context
-
- Key points
- Pubs and bars account for £3 in every £10 spent on leisure
-
- Figure 36: Trends in value of key sectors of the leisure* market, 2006-11
- Figure 37: Leisure spending trends in past 12 months, by sector, October 2011
-
- Figure 38: Leisure spending intentions for the next 12 months, October 2011
- Food-led venues now most prevalent places for drinking alcohol
-
- Figure 39: Places visited for an alcoholic drink in the last 6 months, May 2011
- Wine sales power ahead but beer and cider still largest drinks sector
-
- Figure 40: Alcoholic drinks trends, at current prices, 2005-10
Who’s Innovating?
-
- Key points
- Tech has a bigger role to play
- Special events give reasons to visit pubs
- New concepts keep coming
- Irish pub revival?
- Original thinking
- Treehouses closer to ground
- Beer and Italian go together
- Help yourself
- Pop-up Pubs
- Bachelor pad
- Local goes Locavore
- Multi-branded pubs
- Other developments
- Branching out
- No more beer goggles
- Honey I shrunk the pint
Market Size and Forecast
-
- Key points
- Pub revenues contract by one third in six years
-
- Figure 41: UK pub industry market size and forecast, 2006-16
- Forecast
-
- Figure 42: Forecast for UK pubs industry revenues, 2006-16
-
- Figure 43: Forecast for UK pub industry volume (number of outlets), 2006-16
Segment Performance
-
- Key points
- Food and soft drinks increase their contribution to the pub sales mix
-
- Figure 44: UK pub industry turnover, by segment, 2009-11
Market Share
-
- Key points
- Mitchells & Butlers leads although pubcos have higher total sales
-
- Figure 45: Leading pub operators in the UK, by turnover, 2010/11
-
- Figure 46: Leading pub operators in the UK, by outlet numbers, April 2012
Companies and Products
-
- Key points
- Industry structure
-
- Figure 47: Trends in the number of pub outlets, 2006-11
- Mitchells & Butlers
-
- Figure 48: Key financial data for Mitchells & Butlers plc, 2007-11
- JD Wetherspoon plc
-
- Figure 49: Key financial data for JD Wetherspoon plc, 2007-11
- Spirit Pub Company
-
- Figure 50: Key financial data for Spirit Pub Company, 2010-11
- Figure 51: Spirit Pub Company brands and their food sales, 2011
- Greene King plc
-
- Figure 52: Key financial data for Greene King plc, 2007-11
- Figure 53: Revenue by segment for Greene King plc, 2010-11
- Marston’s plc
-
- Figure 54: Key financial data for Marston’s plc, 2007-11
-
- Figure 55: Revenue by segment for Marston’s plc, 2010-11
- Whitbread plc
-
- Figure 56: Whitbread plc, pub outlet numbers in the UK, February 2012
-
- Figure 57: Financial performance of Whitbread plc, 2007-11
- Enterprise Inns
-
- Figure 58: Key financial data for Enterprise Inns plc. 2007-11
- Punch Taverns
-
- Figure 59: Key financial data for Punch Taverns plc, 2010-11
- Scottish & Newcastle Pub Company
-
- Figure 60: Key financial data for Scottish & Newcastle Pub Company (Management) limited, 2007-10
- Admiral Taverns
-
- Figure 61: Key financial data for Admiral Taverns Group Holdings limited, 2010-11
Brand Communication and Promotion
-
- Key points
- Traditional advertising not a major part of the promotional mix
-
- Figure 62: Expenditure on advertising by selected brewers and pubcos, 2007-11
- Figure 63: Expenditure on advertising by selected brewers and pubcos, by channel, 2011
- Independents lead the way with innovative promotions
- Don’t worry, be appi
- Mutt’s nuts
- Food for footfall
- Spirited gift
Pub Visiting Frequency
-
- Key points
- Three quarters of adults visit pubs
-
- Figure 64: Pub visiting frequency, February 2012
Factors Influencing Choice of Pub
-
- Key points
- A smile costs nothing but gives much
-
- Figure 65: Factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
- Location, location
- Creature comforts
- Talk of the town
- Cost and cleanliness
- Entertainment and keeping it real
- Sport and entertainment bigger draws for most frequent pub-goers
-
- Figure 66: Factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, by most popular pub visiting frequency (for a drink), February 2012
- Figure 67: Factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, by next most popular pub visiting frequency (for a drink), February 2012
- Real/cask ale and traditional pub atmosphere go together
-
- Figure 68: Factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, by most popular factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
- Figure 69: Factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, by next most popular factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
- Figure 70: Factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, by other factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
Pub Visiting Behaviour
-
- Key points
- Pub-going habits are hard to break
-
- Figure 71: Pub visiting behaviour, February 2012
- Heaviest pub drinkers are most habitual
-
- Figure 72: Pub visiting behaviour, by most frequent pub visiting frequency (for a drink), February 2012
- Figure 73: Pub visiting behaviour, by next most frequent pub visiting frequency (for a drink), February 2012
- Sport, entertainment and friends go well together
-
- Figure 74: Pub visiting behaviour, by most popular factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
- Figure 75: Pub visiting behaviour, by next most popular factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
- Figure 76: Pub visiting behaviour, by other factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
- People who visit pubs mostly to drink tend to stick to the same pub/pubs
-
- Figure 77: Pub visiting behaviour, by most popular pub visiting behaviour, February 2012
- Figure 78: Pub visiting behaviour, by next most popular pub visiting behaviour, February 2012
Attitudes Towards Pubs
-
- Key points
- The local pub is still a focus for the community it serves
-
- Figure 79: Attitudes towards pubs, February 2012
- Frequent visitors would like more drinks choices
-
- Figure 80: Attitudes towards pubs, by most popular pub visiting frequency, February 2012
- Figure 81: Attitudes towards pubs, by next most popular pub visiting frequency, February 2012
Pub Targeting Opportunities
-
- Key points
-
- Figure 82: Pub target groups, February 2012
- Fans
- Puritans
- Home-birds
- Disengaged
- Almost nine in ten Fans visit pubs for a drink
-
- Figure 83: Pub visiting frequency, by pub visiting target groups, February 2012
- Home-birds influenced by most factors
-
- Figure 84: Factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, by pub visiting target groups, February 2012
- Home-birds oriented around family visits
-
- Figure 85: Pub visiting behaviour, by pub visiting target groups, February 2012
Appendix – Internal Market Environment
-
-
- Figure 86: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars for a drink or for a meal, at least once a week, 2007-11
- Figure 87: Trends in all prices versus those of alcoholic drinks, by channel, 2006-11
-
- Figure 88: Trends in all prices versus those of food and catering, 2006-11
-
Appendix – Market Size and Forecast
-
-
- Figure 89: Forecast for UK pubs industry revenues, 2011-16
- Figure 90: Forecast for UK pub industry volume (number of outlets), 2011-16
-
Appendix – Pub Visiting Frequency
-
-
- Figure 91: Pub visiting frequency (any visit), by demographics, February 2012
- Figure 92: Most popular pub visiting frequency (for a drink), by demographics, February 2012
-
- Figure 93: Next most popular pub visiting frequency, by demographics, February 2012
-
Appendix – Factors Influencing Choice of Pub
-
-
- Figure 94: Most popular factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, by demographics, February 2012
- Figure 95: Next most popular factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, by demographics, February 2012
-
- Figure 96: Other factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, by demographics, February 2012
-
Appendix – Pub Visiting Behaviour
-
-
- Figure 97: Most popular pub visiting behaviour, by demographics, February 2012
- Figure 98: Next most popular pub visiting behaviour, by demographics, February 2012
-
Appendix – Attitudes Towards Pubs
-
-
- Figure 99: Most popular attitudes towards pubs, by demographics, February 2012
- Figure 100: Next most popular attitudes towards pubs, by demographics, February 2012
-
- Figure 101: Other attitudes towards pubs, by demographics, February 2012
- Figure 102: Attitudes towards pubs, by most popular factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
-
- Figure 103: Attitudes towards pubs, by next most popular factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
- Figure 104: Attitudes towards pubs, by other factors influencing decision about which pub to visit, February 2012
-
- Figure 105: Attitudes towards pubs, by most popular pub visiting behaviour, February 2012
- Figure 106: Attitudes towards pubs, by next most popular pub visiting behaviour, February 2012
-
- Figure 107: Attitudes towards pubs, by most popular attitudes towards pubs, February 2012
- Figure 108: Attitudes towards pubs, by next most popular attitudes towards pubs, February 2012
-
- Figure 109: Attitudes towards pubs, by other attitudes towards pubs, February 2012
-
Appendix – Pub Targeting Opportunities
-
-
- Figure 110: Pub visiting target groups, by demographics, February 2012
-
Back to top