Table of Contents
Analyst Comment
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- It really is going to be a tough Christmas
- A note on the research
- Spending intentions
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- Figure 1: Difference between those planning to spend more and those planning to spend less, 2001-08
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- Figure 2: Christmas spending intentions, 2001-08
- The young are the most optimistic
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- Figure 3: Christmas spending plans by age, 2008
- The background
- Attitudes
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- Figure 4: Attitudes to Christmas spending, 2002-08
- The Internet
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- Figure 5: Attitudes to Christmas spending over the Internet, 2007-08
- But – will they go out and spend anyway?
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- Figure 6: Tendency to splash out to have a good Christmas, 2007-08
- Predictions
Headlines of the Month
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- Food retailing
- Fashion
- Mixed goods
- Multi-sector
- Department stores
- Household goods
- Home shopping
- Miscellaneous
Retail Sales – Background and Outlook
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- Retail sales trends
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- Figure 7: Retail sales trends: Sep 2007-Sep 2008
- Figure 8: Retail sales values: Y/y growth 09/2007-09/2008
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- Figure 9: Retail sales values: Y/y growth 09/2007-09/2008
- BRC data
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- Figure 10: Retail sales data: BRC vs ONS, 2007-08
- Inflation and wages
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- Figure 11: RPI vs Wage rate growth, 2000-08
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- Figure 12: Annual percentage change in Retail Price Index for selected product groups: Aug 2007-Sep 2008
- Outlook
Sector Analysis – Non-Food Specialists
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- Sales trends
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- Figure 13: Non-food specialist retailers, sales trends, 1998-2008 Q3
- Figure 14: Miscellaneous specialists: Main sectors’ share of sales, 2007
- Figure 15: Miscellaneous specialists: Sales relative to all retail sales, 1999-2008(e)
- 2008
- Health and beauty retailers
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- Figure 16: Health and beauty retailers as % all retail sales, 1999-2008(e)
- Figure 17: Leading health and beauty retailers, 2004/05-2007/08
- Books, newsagents and stationers
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- Figure 18: Booksellers, newsagents and stationers as % all retail sales, 1999-2008(e)
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- Figure 19: Booksellers, newsagents and stationers: Leading players, 2004/05-2007/08
- Carpet retailers
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- Figure 20: Carpet retailers as % all retail sales, 1999-2008(e)
- Figure 21: Carpet retailers: Leading players, 2004/05-2007/08
- Photographic and office retailers
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- Figure 22: Photographic and office retailers: Sales as % all retail sales, 1999-2008
- Figure 23: Photographic and office retailers: Leading players, 2004/05-2007/08
- Others
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- Figure 24: Other miscellaneous specialists: Leading players, 2004/05-2007/08
Executive Appointments
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- Ann Summers appoints new managing director
- Debenhams appoints Sharp to deputy chief
- Ideal Shopping appoints Hancox as CEO
- My-Wardrobe.com appoints non-executive chairman
- Woolworths
- … senior staff leave amid mounting woes
- … appoints new CFO
- Wyevale e-commerce and marketing director resigns
Advertising News
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- New campaigns
- Ikea and "Ideal Home" team up for Christmas
- John Lewis’ multi-million pound Christmas campaign
- PC World launches fancy dress competition on Facebook
- Waitrose copies "dine for £10" promotion
- Account gains/losses
- Boots awards its £50 million media planning and buying business
- HMV calls digital pitch
Advertising Expenditure
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- Figure 25: Total advertising expenditure by all advertisers (£m), Aug 2004-Aug 2008
- Figure 26: Retail advertising: Monthly spending relative to average monthly spend in 2003-07
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- Figure 27: Total advertising expenditure by all retail advertisers (£m), Aug 2004-Aug 2008
- Use of media
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- Figure 28: Use of media by retail and all advertisers (£m), Aug 2007-Aug 2008
- Figure 29: Use of media by retail and all advertisers (%), Aug 2007-Aug 2008
- Top 25 retail advertisers
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- Figure 30: Top 25 retailers by adspend (£), Jul 2008-Aug 2008
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The Month in UK Retailing
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- Grocers
- Aldi sales set to reach £2 billion
- Asda suffers profit drop after OFT fines
- Morrisons well-positioned for future growth, says Bolland
- Sainsbury's and Asda cut fuel prices... again!
- Tesco
- … suppliers say demands are too 'aggressive'
- … cuts sales growth guidance in economic gloom
- … seeks to arrange £1bn loan
- … asks suppliers to wait 30 days for payment
- … plans Discounter range expansion
- Waitrose to open first store outside the UK
- Off-licences
- Majestic Wine suffers profit slump
- Clothing retailing
- Ann Summers appoints new managing director
- Arcadia
- … reports operating profit is down 6%
- … owner to double size of Topshop chains
- … outlines strategy for fiscal 2009
- Burberry reports 13% H1 sales increase
- Jaeger chair: Weather, not the economy, is fashion's foe
- Mark One owner secures funding
- Next suffers decline in LFLs
- Peacocks reports sales, profit boost
- Primark records 17% FY profit increase
- Mixed goods retailing
- Home Retail Group suffers H1 losses
- Mothercare
- … records robust first-half results
- … launches US social networking site
- Poundland launches shopping website
- Woolworths
- …sells nine stores to Tesco
- … stakeholder fails to up share
- … seeks advice on business plan from Deloitte
- Multi-sector retailing
- Alliance Boots opens first UAE store
- HMV acquires Gamerbase
- M&S
- … appears to lead the way towards ethical retailing
- … reports 34.1% H1 profit slump
- … signs to Wolverhampton development scheme
- Department stores
- Debenhams
- … FY profits slump 17%
- … chair enthusiastic re: TPG Baugur bid
- Fenwick posts FY profit boost
- House of Fraser
- … distances itself from Icelandic crisis
- … shareholders have first option on stake
- John Lewis
- … plans £20 million Bluewater store overhaul
- … to open first store outside the UK
- Electrical retailing
- DSG puts Electro World up for sale
- DIY retailing
- B&Q to launch eco-friendly products
- Travis Perkins nine-month sales up 3.3%
- Carpet retailing
- Carpetright posts H1 results and announces Sleepright acquisition
- Furniture retailing
- Habitat closes more stores to reduce losses
- Homewares retailing
- Dunelm records sales increase
- Rosebys
- … closes further 24 stores
- … offloads stores to Edinburgh Woollen Mill subsidiary
- Home shopping
- Findel reports robust H1 sales
- Flying Brands suffers 19% slump in Q3 sales
- Ideal Shopping Direct issues profit warning
- Littlewoods moves online and cuts 400 jobs
- Ocado taps shareholders for further £40 million
- Sports and leisure goods retailing
- JD in talks to buy JJB's assets
- JJB Sports
- … reveals rescue plans
- … in asset sale talks
- … in stakes deal with Sports Direct
- Jewellers
- Signet reports Q3 sales slump
- Garden centres
- Wyevale under scrutiny from HBOS
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