2022
9
UK Food and Non-Food Discounters Market Report 2022
2022-09-27T04:05:14+01:00
OX1102643
2195
155957
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Report
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“Following two years of pandemic-impacted trading the UK’s economy has now been hit by record inflation. Amid this growing cost-of-living crisis, consumers are increasingly looking at ways to stretch already…

UK Food and Non-Food Discounters Market Report 2022

£ 2,195 (Excl.Tax)

Description

The UK Food and Non-Food Discounters Market Report examines consumers’ attitudes towards shopping at discounter stores, the leading players and the impact of rising inflation on the discounter market. This report covers the discounter market size, market forecast, market segmentation and discounter industry trends.

Discounter Market Current Landscape        

We are in an unprecedented period of economic uncertainty as inflation reaches record highs and consumer confidence hits record lows. Ultimately, this period of financial uncertainty is set to benefit the value-focused discounter market and will likely see a transfer of market share away from leading grocery retailers. As the cost-of-living crisis grows we expect to see more consumers turning to the non-food and food discounter market to help balance their budgets.

Discounter Market Size and Key Discounters Industry Trends

Although things look positive for the discounter market, as time goes on and the sector continues to mature, retailers will no longer be able to rely on store openings to drive growth. As a result, in the next decade, we expect to see competition between the non-food and food discounters heat up. This increased competition will see discounters entering new sectors – such as garden products – as they seek new growth and expand their usual offerings. Retailers must make sure that they do this carefully and without the new operations affecting their main lines of business and value-first models.

  • Discounter market size: The discount market is expected to grow by 9.4% in 2022, recording a market value of £37,033 million.
  • Food discounters market share: Aldi is a leading retailer in the food discounters market; 82% of UK consumers have used their grocery store.
  • 74% of Brits use food discounters to purchase food cupboard items.
  • 37% of Brits agree that they would like an improved range of products in discounter stores.

 

Future Discounters Industry Trends

Looking further ahead at the increasingly competitive discounter market, retailers will need to cultivate a loyal customer base even as the economy recovers, and one of the ways they can do this is by introducing a loyalty scheme similar to the one Lidl operates. Other opportunities can come from expanding retailers’ online channels, which remain underutilised in the discounter market, and the potential use of checkout-free technology in stores to help streamline and improve the shopping experience.

To discover more about the UK Food and Non-Food Discounters Market Report 2022, read our UK Online Grocery Retailing Market Report 2022, or take a look at our Retail Market Research Reports.

 

Quickly Understand

  • How the cost-of-living crisis will affect the discount market and how to tap into additional demand.
  • Who the leading players are in the discount market, including key metrics and discount market shares.
  • Who shops at the discounters and what do they buy.
  • How discount shoppers are using the online channel.
  • What could be improved in the discount shopping experience.
  • Key attitudes towards shopping at the discounters and discounter industry trends.

Covered in this Report

Our definition of a discounter is a retailer that uses price as its defining feature but also follows the discount model of having extremely tight cost controls and very focused buying.

Brands: Aldi, Lidl, B&M, Wilko, Home Bargains, Savers, Poundland, Poundstretcher, The Original Factory Shop, QD Stores, Jack’s, Heron Foods Ltd, W Boyes & Co. Trago Mills, Quality Save, One Below, Flying Tiger, In-Excess.

Expert Analysis from a Specialist in the Retail Sector

This report, written by Piers Butel, a leading analyst in the retail sector, delivers in-depth commentary and analysis to highlight current trends in the discounter market and add expert context to the numbers.

Following two years of pandemic-impacted trading the UK’s economy has now been hit by record inflation. Amid this growing cost-of-living crisis, consumers are increasingly looking at ways to stretch already tight budgets. The discounters with their clear value focus are set to benefit from this period of financial uncertainty. As the sector matures however, we expect to see retailers looking at new ways to differentiate themselves from the competition.”

Piers Butel
Retail Analyst

Table of Contents

  1. Overview

    • Key issues covered in this Report
    • Market context
    • What is a discounter?
  2. Executive Summary

    • The five-year outlook for the discounter sector
      • Figure 1: Category outlook, 2022-27
    • The market
    • Discount market set to grow in 2022 as cost-of-living crisis hits consumer confidence
      • Figure 2: Market size for food and non-food discounters (excluding VAT), 2017-22
    • Growth to continue as competition becomes increasingly fierce
      • Figure 3: Market forecast for the discounter sector, 2017-27
    • Growth to continue as competition becomes increasingly fierce
      • Figure 4: Household financial wellbeing index, 2016-22
    • Companies and brands
    • Aldi innovates with first checkout-free discount store
      • Figure 5: Aldi’s checkout-free store Greenwich, 2022
    • Total above-the-line advertising spend drops for a second year in a row
      • Figure 6: Total recorded above-the-line, online display and direct mail total advertising expenditure by the UK’s leading discounters, 2018-21
    • Aldi’s excellent shopping experiences keeps it at the top of this year’s brand research
      • Figure 7: Key metrics for selected brands, 2022
    • The consumer
    • Vast majority of consumers are discount shoppers
      • Figure 8: Type of discounter used, 2022
    • Shopping online remains niche for discounter shoppers
      • Figure 9: Discounter shopped with online, 2022
    • Food cupboard items remain vital footfall driver
      • Figure 10: Food item purchasing at food discounters, 2021 and 2022
    • Household cleaning products continue to drive footfall
      • Figure 11: Non-food products purchased at discounters, 2022
    • Shoppers want more choice at discounters
      • Figure 12: What would encourage more discounter shopping, 2022
    • Price matching schemes have narrowed the price-perception gap
      • Figure 13: Consumer attitudes around shopping at discounters, 2022
  3. Issues and Insights

    • Discounters should focus on developing long-term loyal shoppers
    • Discounters innovating and seeking new areas of potential growth
  4. Market Size and Performance

    • Discounter sector had a good pandemic period
    • Discounter sector to grow as inflation squeezes incomes
      • Figure 14: Market size for food and non-food discounters (excluding VAT), 2017-22
    • Food discounters saw sales surge amid pandemic
    • Rival food discounters came and went
    • Cost-of-living crisis sets stage for further discounter growth
      • Figure 15: Market size for food discounters (excluding VAT), 2017-22
    • Non-food sector saw sales surge amid pandemic
    • Non-food retailers well placed to benefit from surging inflation
      • Figure 16: Market size for non-food discounters (excluding VAT), 2017-22
  5. Market Forecast

    • Strong growth to gradually slow as the sector matures
      • Figure 17: Category outlook, 2022-27
    • Positive growth for the immediate future
    • Growth to continue as competition becomes increasingly fierce
      • Figure 18: Market forecast for discounter sector, 2017-27
      • Figure 19: All food and non-food discounter retail sales, market size and forecast at current and constant prices, 2017-27
    • Food discounters to grow rapidly as inflation hits food prices
    • Aldi and Lidl should focus on building loyalty
      • Figure 20: Market forecast for food discounter sector, 2017-27
      • Figure 21: All food discounter retail sales, market size and forecast at current and constant prices, 2017-27
    • Non-food sector will also benefit from the current economic situation
      • Figure 22: Market forecast for non-food discounter sector, 2017-27
      • Figure 23: All non-food discounter retail sales, market size and forecast at current and constant prices, 2017-27
    • Learnings from the last income squeeze
      • Figure 24: Value sales of Aldi and Lidl combined, 2006-12
    • Forecast methodology
  6. Market Drivers

    • Inflation is the key concern for consumers and brands…
      • Figure 25: Overall inflation (CPI) and key categories, 2021-22
    • … and will weigh down the post-COVID recovery
    • Consumer spending power will be curbed
    • The conflict in Ukraine is hurting the UK economy in a number of ways
    • Employment has held up better than expected
    • Consumers’ financial wellbeing has fallen from the highs of 2021…
      • Figure 26: Household financial wellbeing index, 2016-22
    • …and most people are feeling the effects of price rises
      • Figure 27: Expected behaviours as a result of rising prices
  7. Leading Retailers

    • Revenue
      • Figure 28: Leading discounters’ sales, 2017/18 to 2021/22
    • Operating profits
      • Figure 29: Leading discounters’ operating profits, 2017/18 to 2021/22
    • Stores and sales per outlet
      • Figure 30: Leading discounters’ outlet numbers, 2017/18-2021/22
      • Figure 31: Leading discounters’ sales per outlet, 2017/18-2021/22
  8. Market Share

    • Aldi continues to hold the lion’s share of the discount market
      • Figure 32: Leading discounters’ estimated share of all discount sales, 2021
    • Despite recent turmoil market share across grocery remains stable
      • Figure 33: Estimated share of all grocery retail sales (ex-VAT, ex-fuel), by the leading players 2021
    • Non-food discounters maintain strong grip on mixed goods sector
      • Figure 34: Non-food discounters’ share of all mixed goods retail sales, 2017-2021
    • Savers share of health and beauty sector has plateaued
      • Figure 35: Savers’ share of specialist health and beauty sector retail sales (ex-VAT) 2013-2021
  9. Launch Activity and Innovation

    • Poundland goes big and small
    • Aldi dips its toes into checkout-free technology
      • Figure 36: Aldi’s checkout-free store Greenwich, January 2022
    • Aldi driving sustainability measures across its stores
    • Lidl also looking at ways to cut plastic across its business
    • Amid a global shipping crisis Lidl launches its own shipping company
  10. Advertising and Marketing Activity

    • Total above-the-line advertising spending dropped again in 2021
      • Figure 37: Total recorded above-the-line, online display and direct mail total advertising expenditure by the UK’s leading discounters, 2018-21
    • Lidl retakes the top spot from Aldi in 2021
      • Figure 38: UK leading discounters: recorded above-the-line, online display and direct mail total advertising, 2018-21
    • 2021 saw spending below 2020 levels for much of the year
      • Figure 39: Total recorded above-the-line, online display and direct mail total advertising expenditure by leading UK discounters, by month, 2020 and 2021
    • TV is the key channel for discounters
      • Figure 40: Total recorded above-the-line, online display and direct mail total advertising expenditure by the UK’s leading discounters, by media type, 2020
    • Nielsen Ad Intel coverage
  11. Brand Research

    • Brand map
      • Figure 41: Attitudes towards and usage of selected brands, 2022
    • Key brand metrics
      • Figure 42: Key metrics for selected brands, 2022
    • Brand attitudes: Wilko’s online service receives positive recognition
      • Figure 43: Attitudes, by brand, 2022
    • Brand personality: Aldi, Lidl and Wilko all rated for their ethical approaches
      • Figure 44: Brand personality – macro image, 2022
    • Poundland and Poundstretcher considered more basic
      • Figure 45: Brand personality – micro image, 2022
    • Brand analysis
    • Aldi is most recommended discounter
    • Lidl has wide awareness and usage but experience lags behind rival Aldi
    • B&M Bargains has high usage and consumers rate the experience
    • Wilko is the most trusted non-food discounter
    • Home Bargains is an excellent experience
    • Savers has lower usage but consumers rate the experience
    • Poundland has very high awareness and usage but is considered basic
    • Poundstretcher has high awareness but the lowest recent usage
  12. Where They Shop

    • Majority of consumers shop at discounters
      • Figure 46: Type of discounter used, 2022
    • Aldi retains its position at the top
      • Figure 47: discounters typically used, 2020-22
    • Food discounters continue to see more frequent visitation
      • Figure 48: Frequency of discounter usage, 2022
  13. Retailer Demographic Comparison

    • All demographics shopping at discounters
      • Figure 49: Discounter usage by age, 2022
    • Parents of young children a key demographic
      • Figure 50: Discounter usage by age of children, 2022
    • Food discounters have strong appeal for younger consumers
      • Figure 51: Food discounter shoppers by age, 2022
    • Aldi dominates across the Midlands and the North
      • Figure 52: Aldi and Lidl discounter shoppers by area, 2022
    • Accessibility impacts demographics for non-food discounters
      • Figure 53: non-food discounter shoppers by age, 2022
    • Wilko stands out with strong appeal for more affluent shoppers
      • Figure 54: Non-food discounter shoppers by household income, 2022
  14. Discounters and Online

    • Online shopping remains niche
      • Figure 55: Discounter shopped with online, 2022
    • Wilko proves a popular choice for discounter shoppers when online
      • Figure 56: Discounters shopped online with against discounter spent the most with, 2022
  15. Food and Drink Purchases at Food Discounters

    • Chilled and frozen items grow as alcohol purchases drop
      • Figure 57: Food item purchasing at food discounters, 2022
    • Older shoppers more likely to pick up items for full shops
    • Alcoholic drinks continue to lose younger shoppers
      • Figure 58: Food item purchasing at food discounters, by age, 2022
  16. Non-food Purchases at Discounters

    • Household cleaning products continue to drive footfall
    • Homewares the third most commonly bought items
    • Despite recent focus on the home furniture remains unpopular
      • Figure 59: Non-food products purchased at discounters, 2022
    • Older shoppers focus on household cleaning and DIY/gardening items
      • Figure 60: Non-food products purchased at discounters by age, 2022
  17. Areas to Improve at Discounters

    • Shoppers want more choice at discounters
    • Consumers keen for even easier checkouts
    • A quarter of shoppers interested in online delivery and loyalty schemes
      • Figure 61: What would encourage more discounter shopping, 2022
    • Range and quality are particularly important for key demographic
      • Figure 62: What would encourage more discounter shopping, by age, 2022
  18. Attitudes Towards Shopping at Discounters

    • Price matching schemes have narrowed the price-perception gap
      • Figure 63: Consumer attitudes around shopping at food discounters, 2022
    • The discounters are firmly established in the UK retail sector
      • Figure 64: Consumer attitudes towards shopping at discounters and its appeal, 2022
    • Younger shoppers could be churn risks for discounters
      • Figure 65: Consumer attitudes towards shopping at discounters, selected statements by age, 2022
  19. Appendix – Data Sources, Abbreviations and Supporting Information

    • Data Sources
    • VAT
    • Abbreviations
    • Consumer research methodology
  20. Appendix: Forecast Methodology

    • Market forecast and prediction intervals
      • Figure 66: Market forecast for food and non-food discount sector, including prediction interval 2022-27 (prepared September 2021)
    • Market drivers and assumptions
    • Forecast methodology

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This market report provides in-depth analysis and insight supported by a range of data. At the same time, introductory and top-level content is provided to give you an overview of the issues covered.

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