Table of Contents
Executive Summary – UK
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- Food retailer sales outstrip consumer spending on food
- Non-food ranges drive food retailer growth
- Safeway future remains uncertain
- C-stores provide a development opportunity
- Tesco leads the way
- Competition remains tough
Executive Summary – Europe
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- Polarisation in Food Retailing
- Further consolidation
- Acquisition or organic expansion?
- European consumer expenditure on food reaches €950bn
- Modest upturn in European economies forecast
European Summary and Outlook
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- Report scope
- Definitions
- Stores
- Buying groups, voluntary groups and co-operatives
- Countries and companies covered
- The European food retail market
- Spending on food, drink and tobacco
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- Figure 1: Europe: Spending on food, drink and tobacco, 2002
- Food retailers
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- Figure 2: Europe: All food retailers' sales, 1998-2002
- Figure 3: Europe: Food retailers’ share of all retail sales, 1998-2002
- Figure 4: Europe: Sales by food retailers, 1998-2002
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- Figure 5: Europe: Food retailers’ share of all retail sales, 2002
- Figure 6: Europe: Retail sales per capita, by country, 2002
- Leading retailers
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- Figure 7: Europe: Leading food retailers, 2002
- Figure 8: European food retailers: Pan-European concentration, 2002
- Concentration levels
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- Figure 9: Europe: Share of top five retail groups, by country, 2002
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- Figure 10: Europe: Market shares of leading players, 2002
- Corporate activity
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- Figure 11: Europe: Corporate activity by European food retailers, 2002
- Figure 12: Europe: Corporate activity by European food retailers, 2003
- Figure 13: European retailers: Corporate deals, 2002-03
- Outlook
- Diversity
- Larger stores vs discounters
- Growth potential
- Ready-meals
- Non-foods
- Expansion – Internationalisation and consolidation
- Two models
- The Ahold saga
- Expansion through acquisition
- Safeway and consolidation
- Multiples vs voluntary groups
- Consolidation
- E-commerce
- European food retailing
- Prospects and forecasts
- Forecast basis
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- Figure 14: Europe: Food retailers’ sales, share of all retail sales, 1996-2007
- Figure 15: Europe: Food retailers sales growth, 1997-2002 and 2002-07
- Figure 16: Europe: Food retailers and growth, 1997-2007f
European Consumer Trends
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- Introduction
- Comparison of grocery shopping patterns across Europe
- Major grocery shopping
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- Figure 17: Percentage of respondents that grocery shop on a daily basis, GB, Germany, France, Spain, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, 2001-02
- Figure 18: Summary of major grocery shopping, GB, Germany, France, Spain, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, 2001-02
- Other grocery shopping
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- Figure 19: Use of local independent grocers for other grocery shopping, GB, Germany, France, Spain, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, 2001-02
- Figure 20: Other grocery shopping, GB, Germany, France, Spain, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, 2001-02
- Weekly spending on all groceries
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- Figure 21: Percentage of heavy weekly spenders* on all groceries, GB, Germany, France, Spain, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, 2001-02
- Figure 22: Weekly spending on all groceries, GB, Germany, France, Spain, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, 2001-02
- Lifestyle statements
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- Figure 23: Agreement with statements relating to food and shopping in GB, Germany, France, Spain, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, 2001-02
Background Data – United Kingdom
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- Population
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- Figure 24: UK: Population trends, 1998-2002
- Figure 25: UK: Population, by age group and sex, 2002
- Figure 26: UK: Households, 2002
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- Figure 27: UK: Regions and major cities, 2001
- Economy
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- Figure 28: UK: Gross domestic product, 1995-2002
- Figure 29: UK: Consumer prices, 1995-2002
- Figure 30: UK: Consumer expenditure, 1995-2002
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- Figure 31: UK: Detailed breakdown of consumer expenditure, 1998-2002
The UK Food Retail Sector
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- Introduction
- Market size
- Top players
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- Figure 32: UK: Leading grocery retailers, 2001/02
- Outlet trends
- Outlook
- The UK food, drink and tobacco market
- Market value and trends
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- Figure 33: UK: Consumer spending on food, drink and tobacco, 1998-2002
- Figure 34: UK: Growth in consumer spending on food, drink and tobacco, 1998-2002
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- Figure 35: UK: Key grocery non-food markets, 1998-2002
- Product breakdown
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- Figure 36: UK: Average weekly household spending on food, 2001/02
- Channels of distribution
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- Figure 37: UK: Inflation in food, drink and tobacco, 1998-2002
- Food retailers
- Sales values and trends
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- Figure 38: UK: Food retailers' sales, 1998-2002
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- Figure 39: UK: Food retailers' sales as % all retail sales, 1997-2002
- Figure 40: UK: Food retailers' sales, by type of retailer, 1998-2002
- Enterprise and outlet data
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- Figure 41: UK: Food retail businesses, by sector, 1996-2001
- Leading players
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- Figure 42: UK: Leading players, 2002/03
- Market shares
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- Figure 43: UK: Top ten food retailers' market share, 2002
- Prospects and forecasts
- Prospects
- Wal-Mart
- Safeway
- Internationalisation
- Consolidation
- Forecasts
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- Figure 44: UK: Food retailing prospects, 2002-07
- Figure 45: UK: Food retailers' sales as % all retail sales, 2002-07
Major Company Profiles
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- Aldi Gruppe
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- Figure 46: Aldi: Share of all German food retailers’ sales, 1998-2002
- Figure 47: Aldi: Share of all European food retailers’ sales, 1998-2002
- Background
- History
- North-South divide
- Competition at home
- Expansion abroad
- Financial data
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- Figure 48: Aldi Gruppe: Estimated European sales data, 1998-2002
- Outlets
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- Figure 49: Aldi Gruppe: European outlet data, 1999-2002
- Non-European activities
- Products
- E-commerce
- SWOT
- J Sainsbury
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- Figure 50: Sainsbury’s Supermarkets: Share of all UK food retailers' sales, 1998-2002
- Background
- International
- Recent problems
- Systems and distribution
- Safeway
- Nectar card
- Financial services
- Financial data
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- Figure 51: J Sainsbury: Group financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
- Figure 52: Sainsbury’s Supermarkets: Sales growth, 1998/99-2002/03
- Outlets
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- Figure 53: Sainsbury’s Supermarkets: Outlet data, 1996/97-2002/03
- Products
- E-commerce
- SWOT
- Safeway
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- Figure 54: Safeway: Share of all UK food retailers’ sales, 1996/97-2002/03
- Background
- Safeway
- The bid
- International
- Financial data
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- Figure 55: Safeway Plc: Financial performance, 1997/98-2002/03
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- Figure 56: Safeway-BP Joint Venture: Financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
- Outlets
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- Figure 57: Safeway: Upgraded stores, 2000/01-2002/03
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- Figure 58: Safeway: Store portfolio by store size, 1999-2003
- Figure 59: Safeway: Outlet data, 1998/99-2002/03
- Figure 60: Safeway-BP Joint Venture: Outlet data, 1998/99-2002/03
- Products
- E-commerce
- SWOT
- Schwarz
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- Figure 61: Schwarz: Share of all German food retailers’ sales, 1998-2002
- Figure 62: Schwarz: Share of all European food retailers’ sales, 1998-2002
- Background
- Financial data
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- Figure 63: Schwarz: European food sales data, 1998/99-2002/03
- Outlets
- Lidl
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- Figure 64: Lidl: European outlet data, 1999-2003
- Kaufland
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- Figure 65: Kaufland/other fascias: Estimated European outlet data, 1999-2002
- Products
- E-commerce
- SWOT
- Spar International
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- Figure 66: Spar (Europe): Sales as share of all European food retailers sales, 2000-02
- Background
- Financial data
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- Figure 67: Spar International: Sales, 2000-02
- Outlets
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- Figure 68: Spar International: Outlet data, 2000-02
- Products
- E-commerce
- SWOT
- Tesco
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- Figure 69: Tesco (UK): Sales as share of all UK food retailers' sales, 1998-2002
- Figure 70: Tesco: Share of all European food retailers' sales, 1998-2002
- Background
- Safeway – UK
- Clubcard and financial services
- International activity
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- Figure 71: Tesco: International expansion, 1994-2003
- Financial data
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- Figure 72: Tesco: Group financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
- Figure 73: Tesco: Like-for-like sales growth, by country, 2000/01-2002/03
- UK
- Other Europe
- Other
- Interim results
- Outlets
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- Figure 74: Tesco: Outlet data, 1998/99-2002/03
- UK
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- Figure 75: Tesco: UK store formats, 2001-2004
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- Figure 76: Tesco: UK store portfolio, by size, 2002 and 2003
- Ireland
- Eastern Europe
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- Figure 77: Tesco: Eastern Europe store portfolio, 2002-03
- Far East
- Products
- Logistics
- E-commerce
- SWOT
- Wal-Mart (Europe)
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- Figure 78: ADSA: Share of UK food retailers’ sales, 1996-2002
- Figure 79: Wal-Mart Germany: Share of German food retailers sales, 1998-2002
- Background
- Safeway
- Germany
- Rest of Europe
- Financial data
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- Figure 80: Wal-Mart Inc: Group financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
- Figure 81: Wal-Mart Europe: Financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
- Figure 82: ASDA: Financial performance in pounds sterling, 1998-2002
- Outlets
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- Figure 83: Wal-Mart Europe: Outlet data, 1998/99-2002/03
- George
- Products
- E-commerce
- SWOT
Mini Company Profiles
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- Iceland
- Background
- Financial data
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- Figure 84: Iceland: Financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
- Outlets
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- Figure 85: Iceland: Outlet data, 1998/99-2002/03
- E-commerce
- Marks & Spencer
- Background
- Financial data
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- Figure 86: Marks & Spencer: Financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
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- Figure 87: Marks & Spencer (Foods): Financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
- Outlets
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- Figure 88: Marks & Spencer: Outlet data, 1999/2000-2002/03
- Figure 89: Marks & Spencer (Foods): Outlet data, 1998/99-2002/03
- Somerfield
- Background
- Financial data
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- Figure 90: Somerfield: Revenues by fascia, 2001/02-2002/03
- Figure 91: Somerfield: Financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
- Outlets
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- Figure 92: Somerfield: Outlet data, 1998/99-2002/03
- Product ranges
- Waitrose
- Background
- Financial data
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- Figure 93: Waitrose: Financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
- Outlets
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- Figure 94: Waitrose: Outlet data, 1998/99-2002/03
- E-commerce
- Wm Morrison
- Background
- Financial data
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- Figure 95: Wm Morrison: Financial performance, 1998/99-2002/03
- Outlets
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- Figure 96: Wm Morrison: Outlet data, 1998/99-2002/03
UK Grocery Advertising
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- Figure 97: Grocery advertising, top 16 grocery retailers, 1998-2002
- Figure 98: Grocery advertising by media, top 16 grocery retailers, 2002
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UK Consumer Trends
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- Great Britain
- Introduction
- Frequency of major grocery shopping
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- Figure 99: Frequency of major and other grocery shopping, Great Britain, 2002
- Day of the week for major grocery shopping
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- Figure 100: Particular day for major and other grocery shopping, Great Britain, 2002
- Type of shop used for major and other grocery shopping
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- Figure 101: Type of shop used for major and other grocery shopping, Great Britain, 2002
- Type of shop used for major and other grocery shopping by demographics
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- Figure 102: Type of shop used for regular major grocery shopping, by sex and age, Great Britain, 2002
- Figure 103: Type of shop used for regular major grocery shopping, by household income, geographical region and presence of children, Great Britain, 2002
- Weekly spending on groceries
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- Figure 104: Weekly spending on groceries, by gender, Great Britain, 2002
- Figure 105: Weekly spending on groceries, by age and gender, Great Britain, 2002
- Figure 106: Weekly spending on groceries, by household income, geographical region and presence of children, Great Britain, 2002
- Distance travelled to make regular grocery purchases
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- Figure 107: Distance travelled to make regular major grocery purchases, Great Britain, 2002
- Transport used to make regular grocery purchases
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- Figure 108: Transport used to make regular major grocery purchases, Great Britain, 2002
- Lifestyle statements by demographics
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- Figure 109: Top five lifestyle statements, Great Britain, 2002
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- Figure 110: Lifestyle statements by gender and presence of children, Great Britain, 2002
- Figure 111: Lifestyle statements by age, Great Britain, 2002
- Figure 112: Lifestyle statements by income, Great Britain, 2002
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- Figure 113: Lifestyle statements by geographical location, Great Britain, 2002
- Northern Ireland
- Introduction
- Frequency of major grocery shopping
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- Figure 114: Frequency of major and other grocery shopping, Northern Ireland, 2002
- Day of the week for major grocery shopping
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- Figure 115: Particular day for major and other grocery shopping, Northern Ireland, 2002
- Type of shop used for major and other grocery shopping
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- Figure 116: Type of shop used for major and other grocery shopping, Northern Ireland, 2002
- Figure 117: Type of shop used for major and other grocery shopping, Northern Ireland, 2002
- Figure 118: Type of shop used for regular major grocery shopping, by demographic sub-group, Northern Ireland, 2002
- Weekly spending on groceries
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- Figure 119: Weekly spending on groceries, by demographic sub-group, Northern Ireland, 2002
- Distance travelled to make regular grocery purchases
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- Figure 120: Distance travelled to make regular major grocery purchases, Northern Ireland, 2002
- Transport used to make regular grocery purchases
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- Figure 121: Transport used to make regular major grocery purchases, Northern Ireland, 2002
- Lifestyle statements by demographics
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- Figure 122: Top five lifestyle statements, Northern Ireland, 2002
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- Figure 123: Lifestyle statements, by gender and presence of children, Northern Ireland, 2002
- Figure 124: Lifestyle statements by age, Northern Ireland, 2002
- Figure 125: Lifestyle statements by income, Northern Ireland, 2002
The UK Consumer
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- Introduction
- Source of main grocery shopping
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- Figure 126: Source of main grocery shopping, UK, 1996-2003
- Demographic characteristics of ‘main shoppers’ by gender, age and socio-economic group
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- Figure 127: Shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for main shopping, by gender, July 2003
- Figure 128: Analysis of shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for main shopping, by gender, age and socio-economic group, July 2003
- Figure 129: Analysis of shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for main shopping, by lifestage, presence of children in household and Mintel’s Special Groups, July 2003
- Figure 130: Analysis of shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for main shopping, by marital and working status, July 2003
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- Figure 131: Analysis of shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for main shopping, by region and ACORN categories, July 2003
- Figure 132: Analysis of shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for main shopping, by car ownership and use of media, July 2003
- Stores used for other grocery shopping
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- Figure 133: Other stores used for grocery shopping (excluding stores used for main grocery shopping), UK, 1996-2003
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- Figure 134: Analysis of shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for secondary shopping, by gender, age and socio-economic group, July 2003
- Figure 135: Analysis of shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for secondary shopping, by lifestage, presence of children in household and Mintel’s Special Groups, July 2003
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- Figure 136: Analysis of shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for secondary shopping, by marital and working status, July 2003
- Figure 137: Analysis of shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for secondary shopping, by region and ACORN categories, July 2003
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- Figure 138: Analysis of shoppers using the four leading grocery multiples for secondary shopping, by car ownership and use of media, July 2003
UK Consumer – Attitudes and Typologies
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- Loyalty to grocery outlets
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- Figure 139: Usage of grocery outlets for main and secondary shopping, July 2003
- Attitudes towards top-up shopping
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- Figure 140: Top five consumer attitudes to do with top-up grocery shopping, July 2003
- Figure 141: Consumers’ attitudes to do with top-up grocery shopping, July 2003
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- Figure 142: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by age, gender and socio-economic group, July 2003
- Figure 143: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by age, gender and socio-economic group, July 2003
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- Figure 144: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by lifestage, presence of children in household and Mintel’s Special Groups, July 2003
- Figure 145: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by lifestage, presence of children in household and Mintel’s Special Groups, July 2003
- Figure 146: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by marital and working status, July 2003
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- Figure 147: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by marital and working status, July 2003
- Figure 148: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by region and ACORN categories, 2003
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- Figure 149: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by region and ACORN categories, 2003
- Figure 150: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by car ownership and media use, July 2003
- Figure 151: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by car ownership and media use, July 2003
- Top-up shopping by source of top shopping
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- Figure 152: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by source of secondary grocery shopping, July 2003
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- Figure 153: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by source of secondary grocery shopping, July 2003
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- Figure 154: Analysis of shoppers’ top-up shopping habits, by source of secondary grocery shopping, July 2003
- Consumer attitudes towards grocery shopping
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- Figure 155: Top five consumer attitudes towards grocery retailing, July 2003
- Figure 156: Consumers’ attitudes towards grocery retailing, July 2003
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- Figure 157: Top five shopper attitudes towards grocery shopping, by gender, July 2003
- Figure 158: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by gender, age and socio-economic group, July 2003
- Figure 159: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by gender, age and socio-economic group, July 2003
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- Figure 160: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by lifestage, presence of children in household and Mintel’s Special Groups, July 2003
- Figure 161: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by lifestage, presence of children in household and Mintel’s Special Groups, July 2003
- Figure 162: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by marital and working status, July 2003
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- Figure 163: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by marital and working status, July 2003
- Figure 164: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by region and ACORN categories, July 2003
- Figure 165: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by region and ACORN categories, July 2003
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- Figure 166: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by car ownership and media use, July 2003
- Figure 167: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by car ownerhsip and media use, July 2003
- Attitudes towards grocery shopping by main source
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- Figure 168: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by source of main shopping, July 2003
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- Figure 169: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by source of secondary shopping, July 2003
- Figure 170: Analysis of shoppers’ attitudes towards grocery shopping, by source of secondary shopping, 2003
- Cluster analysis
- Loyal convenience shoppers (20%)
- Restricted shoppers (38%)
- Price-savvy adventurers (22%)
- Easy-access shoppers (20%)
- Demographics of the shopper types
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- Figure 171: Grocery shopping clusters, July 2003
- Figure 172: Grocery shopping clusters, by shopper type, by age, gender and socio-economic group, July 2003
- Figure 173: Grocery shopping clusters, by shopper type, by lifestage, respondent’s own children and Mintel's Special Groups, July 2003
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- Figure 174: Grocery shopping clusters, by shopper type, by marital and working status, July 2003
- Figure 175: Grocery shopping clusters, by shopper type, by region and media use, July 2003
- Conclusions and implications
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